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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. We shift west every run at this point. Dare I go full weenie tonight?
  2. EURO isn't taking the GFS path to a win for us - we've got two different paths to success here. Beginning to feel a litttle comfortable.
  3. I’ve been pretty conservative but the EPS looks like a fairly healthy cave
  4. I would've bet we'd been dead 2 days ago so I could be wrong but seeing the GEM/EURO all on a pretty similar wavelength makes me think we gotta almost be done with them trending toward the GFS. They still really aren't close as far as getting hammered on the day Sunday.
  5. Yeah, I take back what I was saying a little bit about the 12z EURO. The inverted trough/CCB/whogivesa improved and that was most of our improvement, BUT the coastal did genuinely improve, though it mostly mattered looking further up the coast. You have to call it a bit of a cave... we need a lot more, though. Feeling like a NJ/LI jackpot at the moment.
  6. My recall is only 1-2" in my corner of Arlington, so some big gradient differences. Perhaps I'm a little low.
  7. I’m not quite as excited as some other folks here - baby steps at h5 only going so far. Think most of this is the IVT (which I do think has a shot).
  8. This finding it's way into being a canonical Nina blizzard makes sense. Long as it's something we can cash in a litttle bit as opposed to the storms we can't name
  9. If you run the last four back it's hard not to see a slight NE trend in the best totals but still gotta hope we're just gonna meet in the middle to an outcome that is about half of this
  10. I think we’re counting on rates to overcome in this depiction. Not sure Conn Ave will cave during the day
  11. I'd say we bust low on temps as we have all week but we know that's not likely
  12. IVT after dark is probably the best non-GFS solution that's on the table
  13. Then we need to get the GFS to slow down or we need to create our own cold air Or drive west
  14. Agree - just the NAM has 3-5" OTG for DC proper at the time. Stuff to resolve there. Willing to blend the two for now and rely on 3k tomorrow Could always make it a heckuva chase... start in the Shenandoah's, drive to assateague...
  15. that's a color you don't see much
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