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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    RGEM looked pretty darn good so not surprised since they are essentially the same. GFS, ICON, RGEM all good for DC, at least. Ways to go but pretty good 00z despite how quiet it is in here
  2. NorthArlington101
    Think NWS is running behind for ya’ll there again - I’d feel pretty good about 1-2” as a forecast right now. Snow on snow on snow in the first two weeks of December?
  3. NorthArlington101
    If the GFS is right and it’s a 30mi strip or so that’s gonna get the snow, we won’t know for a few days. Wouldn’t get hung up on where it is. Just nice to have something in the area.
  4. NorthArlington101
  5. NorthArlington101
    when are you coming back from finals and bringing the luck back? gotta be soon
  6. NorthArlington101
    You can see the same thing happening on the HRRR even though it works out on that model. Question is whether there is enough moisture to overcome the dry air/mountain shred. Further west has a better shot. we could in general use more north too... still a little too far south, really
  7. NorthArlington101
    Looks better put together on TT but this is still a buy at this point for sure
  8. NorthArlington101
    DC is a snow town?
  9. NorthArlington101
    Looks like a deathband during a KU as it pivots out of town, not a snowstorm on it's own
  10. NorthArlington101
    Such a narrow jack zone. Weird depiction. But it's not inconsistent with other models and itself. Idk
  11. NorthArlington101
  12. NorthArlington101
    Looking meh for all parties involved, but at least there is some historical precedent to a clipper juicing up leading up to gametime. If I was to guess, though, areas slightly to most of our south have the best shot at this one again.
  13. NorthArlington101
    I'm most "worried" about another miss south for Friday right now - pretty much all the models stick with the seasonal trend. Not gonna cry over missing 1", at least.
  14. NorthArlington101
    Looks about perfect to me?
  15. NorthArlington101
    Too busy at work to chase... but next time there is a Blizzard Warning I'll need to figure something out lol
  16. NorthArlington101
    GEFS likes Friday slightly more but has more upside for the Sunday system.
  17. NorthArlington101
    Funny enough though, the AIFS hates Friday and likes Sunday better.
  18. NorthArlington101
    As mentioned earlier, EPS is more onboard with Friday than Sunday. Pretty decent consensus for a light event Friday... less for Sunday. Not a lot of upside for either at least via the ens.
  19. NorthArlington101
    I'd buy the median on the GEFS through the weekend. About 50/50 what comes Friday vs. Sunday
  20. NorthArlington101
    all kind of evens out between the two light events. Beggars can't be choosers but I'd like more lol
  21. NorthArlington101
    GFS has the end of week clipper but not super inspiring for most. Just good to see it on there, can get it to juice up later.
  22. NorthArlington101
    We’re in NAM range for a December event again? This has been awesome from a tracking perspective even if nobody north of Fredericksburg has too much to show for it, lol
  23. NorthArlington101
    My sister says it’s still snowing in Harrisonburg, which is shocking to me. Even more shocking is a storm without threat of mixing where Harrisonburg snows for 12+ hours but nary a flake in DC
  24. NorthArlington101
    EPS is similar - just less interested in both. But still appearing on the means.
  25. NorthArlington101
    AIFS ens have both threats - not sure right now if any of the members hit both, but late Friday clipper and Sunday more substantial storm.
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