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Everything posted by NorthArlington101
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Our best posters are out in full force!
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Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
NorthArlington101 replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
But yes - no member has DCA over 6". To say the GFS is on a different world is an understatement. Different parallel universe -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
NorthArlington101 replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
EPS really wants the IVT overhead. Get a nickel and dimer on the board even at the 10th percentile. Median looks solid -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
NorthArlington101 replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Identical to 06z essentially -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
NorthArlington101 replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
IVT gonna look okay on the Euro I think. Looks like DC gets .3” of precip when it should probably be snow -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
NorthArlington101 replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
SV maps look like 1-3” all IVT. Coastal is offshore Boston. So yea -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
NorthArlington101 replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
EURO AI says no. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
NorthArlington101 replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
I appreciate any support I guess. This is about the range we started truly reeling in Jan 3, 2022, the last real GFS coup I remember. I can't think of any other event to hang a hopium hat on. I guess NYC only got Jan 2016 at the last minute but at least all models showed a storm. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
NorthArlington101 replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
Final: -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
NorthArlington101 replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
This is gonna be the nastiest kick in the nards -
I mean...
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Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
NorthArlington101 replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
I kind of figured we had one more jog west in us. Just absurd differences. Gotta be praying for a Jan 22 GFS-like coup. To every god. -
Feb 22nd/23rd "There's no way..." Storm Thread
NorthArlington101 replied to Maestrobjwa's topic in Mid Atlantic
GFS is a bomb -
Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range
NorthArlington101 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
It's okay - I've heard through the grapevine the Navy model was a bomb -
Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range
NorthArlington101 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Took about an inch off the median. I'd guess this is all shot a scattershot of the IVT -
Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range
NorthArlington101 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
? we went from a mean of nearly 4" regionwide to this -
Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range
NorthArlington101 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
12z EPS is a fairly significant step backward on the snow mean side of the house. Will update this post with a map once it's finished. -
Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range
NorthArlington101 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
The SV maps are a decent match for precip but generally the common wisdom is WxBell ptype depiction is better. -
Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range
NorthArlington101 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
wxbell -
Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range
NorthArlington101 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
6z EPS were significantly better. Curious if we lose ground with the 12z EPS. I'm not exactly a believer in the off runs being worse but they do "feel" jumpier. -
Late February/Early March 2026 Mid-Long Range
NorthArlington101 replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
While we wait - PARA CMC has most of the snow with the IVT. Not a fan of the coastal bit.
