I think it did well for the last event... don't think it can handle mesoscale details well but it never moved the heavy stuff far north and never lost sight of the event happening once it was relatively "locked" down.
You must’ve missed my meltdown yesterday where I bought an emergency flight back to BWI for Friday if I need it after yesterday’s 18z GFS… so I’m happy to cheer for a monster (8”+ is the bar). If I don’t need the flight, I can cancel it for travel credit and fly to Buffalo for the next lake effect storm
also the girlfriend is back in DC - my family’s vacation didn’t work with her law school schedule. So more incentive to return early!
just got back to a laptop from the beach - but yeah, pretty much. difference between the median and the top 10% illustrate that pretty well. Also illustrates the GFS parent is pretty much the snowiest of all it's members.
also... for all my whining in the past week... basically no regrets about what turned out to be 5-6" (pending ULL) inches of snow. when NWS upped amounts last night I was sweating bullets
This subforum has a nasty relationship with threads. NYC will start them 3 weeks in advance for a storm that misses them. Here 3 days out is about right lol
Got a vague report of “more than 5”” from a friend near Eastern Market, DC. Says rates aren’t that impressive, though, so guessing sleet might be mixing in.
Snapshot from the Arlington house cam. Waiting for obs from my “spotter network.” Just knowing my house - this looks like about 4”? Tried to scroll through to see if that was close, don’t know if that’s right.
You aren’t wrong! But many of us on here same feel the same way… just venting. It’s a largely incurable disease, I think. But appreciate being chided for it - probably deserve it
Love our mini pity thread going on in banter while everyone else parties lol. We’re fun guys.
I’d wag the HECS threat next weekend is a 2-4” event that favors the south more than us, just to put us both at ease lol.
Yeah, wedding is tough nuts. Especially family. I’m a loon but I couldn’t run out on my sibling’s weddings or anything. A cousin? Probably
I am heartened that our smartest folks seem to think we continue on this possible heater. Jan 14 is early in the winter and we often have zero snow by that date. Odds are still probably we’re both missing the season’s best stork tomorrow if you look at a typical year but maybe this ain’t a typical year