NorthArlington101

^ I'm sure this is a useful product

7 minutes ago, MN Transplant said:

Groan.  Peak wind is 22mph today.  Only about 45 mph less than what the Euro gave me.

 

yeah, this one hurt a little bit. We got jipped pretty hard. Just heard a decent crack of thunder, at least.

lol, a small cell just popped up overhead. I'll take the consolation prize.

 

16 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Maybe the cell south of Warrenton has a chance. Will eventually be moving into sunny areas where I’m assuming parameters have rebounded.

Seems to be slowly getting its act together.

Maybe the cell south of Warrenton has a chance. Will eventually be moving into sunny areas where I’m assuming parameters have rebounded.

What radar setting shows rotation?

Velocity. Everything should look red or green, pretty much.

Slightly suspicious kink in the line west of Stephens City.

hmmm... I probably would’ve continued that TOR warning in the northern suburbs of Baltimore. Rotation has weakened, though.

Rotation W of Montclair, VA tightened up this frame

Tagged with the TOR possible too. 

Hard to tell but I think I see some rotation SSE of Paw Paw.

Nice cell about to move into Lyerly, GA.

The accumulation maps are so much different from weatherbell to tropical tidbits. The maps on tropical tidbits cut this in like half, maybe more. Weatherbell is for Weenies

never said I wasn’t a weenie!

Brad Arnold seems to have it (Soso tornado) live:

https://livestormchasing.com/map

 

1 minute ago, BristowWx said:

Next run.  This one looked similar to 12z...off run toss it 

this is a crazy run for Central/Western VA. oh man

Just now, SmokeEater said:

Watch in AL upgraded to a PDS watch.

Sent from my SM-G973U using Tapatalk
 

 

Just now, DanLarsen34 said:

SPC just issued a PDS watch for the southern areas of MS and southern/Central AL.

95/90... nasty

Another silly run of GFS.  psu called it.  Just silly

now it’s 8 inches in CHO, haha. What a garbage model. CMC has got to be better at this point. ICON probably is too.

hah, maybe I should be going down to Charlottesville to chase for three days. My poor off-Grounds house is just sitting there vacant...

an enhanced, maybe moderate risk tomorrow? Then 6” of snow on the GFS Wednesday? Sign me up.

The funny thing is we are all dancing around the politics here but you can totally tell someone’s political affiliation by seeing how they are treating the pandemic. That... shouldn’t be the case when it comes to science.

Yeah, I tried to subtly make that point yesterday. This is a partisan issue. Had to write a whole paper about it for my News Media class. There isn’t really a way around it. That said, I prefer it when we keep it implicit and subtle! Makes the slight disses more fun.

To be fair, I did not ride my bike today.

Yeah, the bigger profile might’ve made it tough. I enjoy a chilly jog, though. Going numb lessens the pain, lol.

Today was the perfect jogging day. Going downhill at 20mph with the wind.

7 minutes ago, supernovasky said:

For a second I thought those were the cooks LOL.

 

But surface transmission risk is not extremely low. In fact if anything I think there's good evidence that it's extremely high with how the countries that have gotten it under control have utilized extensive surface decontamination, with surface transmission being confirmed as a major risk of transmission (Debra Berks mentioned recently how they have been surprised at some of the surface transmissibility of the virus and how long it lives on surfaces), and with how easy it is for a surface transmissible agent to get through.

 

Like they give you the plastic bag with the takeout. Even if you have sanitizer in the car, you just placed it on your lap, or on the seat next to you. You sanitize, but then pick it up to bring it into your house and touch the doorknob. You go place it on the kitchen counter. 

 

Imagine the virus is like glitter lol. Eventually you have it everywhere. 

 

Hence why my practice has been: Get groceries delivered, wash them thoroughly, sanitize path from door to kitchen, bleach surfaces they sat on, washing hands multiple times through the process. 

 

What really hit home for me in needing to do all of this was reading the reports of the Heathrow baggage handlers, the cook on the Princess cruise line, and the Singapore church case where multiple people who sat in the same seat in the church at different times got sick.

Yeah, I've found it wild how much people are relying on delivery and takeout. I understand that it is essential that support be given to restaurants and I'm far from anti-restaurant, but any unnecessary contact is a risk that I'm not willing to take. While the virus material decreases significantly over time on these surfaces, the scientific consensus is that:

"the COVID-19 virus can survive up to three days on plastic and stainless steel. It was detected on copper up to four hours, on cardboard up to 24 hours and it can also linger in tiny particles in the air for up to three hours."

Hence, I'm avoiding anything that exposes me unnecessarily. I'll help my family wipe down the groceries, but getting a takeout dinner is an unnecessary risk. I love my local joints, but I'm not willing to risk it.

I realize that handwashing and not touching your face resolve all these issues, but that requires everyone in the family to be diligent. And then there is the problem of the counters you place the food on, the car (as @supernovasky mentioned), etc.

We can dodge the issue, but ultimately what people are debating is whether they think this virus is genuinely scary enough to shut things down for. Research has shown that opinions on the severity of the virus are a partisan issue, and ultimately that's unlikely to change. While I find this debate fun, we all know its not going anywhere!

EPS went in the wrong direction with snow next Wednesday. It's over!!