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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. Per the ncep site, .1” of precip line on the FV3 ends up a little S of DC. CHO somewhere in between .25-.5”, RIC .5”.
  2. You see this panel. What do you assume happens next?
  3. For those still watching, the 12z NAM was a slight shrink south from its 06z position. Perhaps it'll get more in line with the 3k. Heckuva model war going on. Canadians & NAM vs. EURO/FV3/ICON vs. GFS/WRFs. Differences in those camps is going to mean a lot for the southern half of the subforum.
  4. It’s Canada vs the World. RGEM & HDRPS are real close too and are big hits for Central VA.
  5. Gets a little past RIC. Not near the extent of the ICON/RGEM though.
  6. We got 48 hours to pull an NYC in the 2016 Blizzard.
  7. Early December 2017 had three things trend better in a week, mostly for MD iirc.
  8. Repeat after me... I'm not getting suckered in by the F-team models... I'm not getting suckered back in by the F-team models.
  9. NWS has the best graphics. From reading the LWX AFD, someone else (or a computer?) must make these.
  10. Snow doesn’t get out of the most southern edge of Virginia on the GFS, and it barely snows there. Close the blinds.
  11. GEFS a slight improvement. IIRC, heavier stuff has been shifted more south but northern extent is a little nicer.
  12. Speaking of the GEFS... the mean (sorry if this was posted already) is godawful. This needs to turn around ASAP
  13. 18z FV3 is a big swing and a miss, .1" of QPF makes it up to just south of Fredericksburg or so. See it here: http://mageval.ncep.noaa.gov
  14. GEFS essentially identical to 6z just based off the snowmap. better zoom. It is a slight improvement. Mean jumped an 1" or so for DCA.
  15. See sig for reports from dual locations. I’ll do my best to keep up both.
  16. DCA: 22.8” IAD: 32.2” BWI: 25.7” RIC: 16.0” SBY: 9.1” Reserve the right to change this & almost certainly will go higher. edit1: boosted numbers a little bit edit2: boosted numbers to reflect early storm edit3: boosted numbers to go #allin on the December 8th storm
  17. DCA: 11/16 BWI: 11/2 IAD: 11/2 RIC: 11/16 Tiebreaker: 4.7"
  18. Gonna stall out right over the Outer Banks again... very little movement between 78 & 84, any movement was due N.
  19. Wait... if our events are busting because we are in a drought, and hence it can’t rain/snow in a drought, are we literally going to be stuck in a drought forever? Has someone done the math?! Cancel the next 50 winters until global warming moves the ocean close enough to help us out.
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