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NorthArlington101

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Everything posted by NorthArlington101

  1. NorthArlington101
    I think the front end can be weenie-willed up to a 5" jackpot, genuinely. To answer the ratio question from Scraff, they improve as it goes on, but the bulk of the good stuff falls at 10:1, based on how Pivotal interprets the Kuchera #s
  2. NorthArlington101
  3. NorthArlington101
    man, I’ve got like no work to do at college this weekend - I bet I could make this trip work haha
  4. NorthArlington101
    Also finished Ozark tonight - can’t wait for May, which is when it seems like Pt. 2 is airing. Very glad it’s not next fall, which I had feared.
  5. NorthArlington101
    FV3-HiRes, temps a bit of an issue:
  6. NorthArlington101
    i updated it - tbf it should've included an additional 3 hours. 1" from the coastal would be a win, i guess
  7. NorthArlington101
    that's true, but looking at how much QPF it throws back from the coastal given that statement is kinda funny, lol 18z comparison
  8. NorthArlington101
    12k NAM is an acceptable compromise for all + it's colder than the HRRR.
  9. NorthArlington101
    yeah, if you mean the fact it says it's 35 and it'll actually be 31 and that the band is gonna move 20 miles south and be directly over my yard, I agree
  10. NorthArlington101
    For the people in the band, most of it comes in 3 hours. Temps aren't great tho, I'll admit.
  11. NorthArlington101
    Extended HRRR -- someone will steal 3-4".
  12. NorthArlington101
    got ninja’d in the main thread
  13. NorthArlington101
    Storm Total @WinterWxLuvr 18z 12z
  14. NorthArlington101
    This is what the coastal brings to the immediate area:
  15. NorthArlington101
    This is largely pre-coastal:
  16. NorthArlington101
    Didn't see anyone post the HRDPS -- almost all of this D.C.-east is the pre-costal stuff.
  17. NorthArlington101
    It's worth considering in the future that this GFS run was a cave towards a more EURO/CMC solution for NJ/NYC/LI/Mass
  18. NorthArlington101
    it's much better for the delmarva/southern NJ folks (which this image doesn't show) -- initial wave doesn't suck for us here either
  19. NorthArlington101
    last 10 days of the run
  20. NorthArlington101
    I don’t trust people who say they can really tell between Coke and Pepsi… what else are they willing to lie about?
  21. NorthArlington101
    not a soda person at all but when I must: Root Beer Coke Pepsi Ginger Ale Fanta Sprite Dr. Pepper Ginger Ale Mountain Dew
  22. NorthArlington101
    Back to back east coast storms in February? Reminds me of something
  23. NorthArlington101
    If the GFS truly verifies and those spots miss out, it’ll be hard to look at other models for the rest of the year for things other than short-term banding and p-type.
  24. NorthArlington101
    ban this man
  25. NorthArlington101
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