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BoulderWX

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Everything posted by BoulderWX

  1. Yup, horrible look for TLH with the center projected to pass just to the east.
  2. Up to 70mph - we should have Hurricane Helene by the 11am advisory
  3. Honestly, this is on the Mods at this point. It’s one thing to let a few random posts go, but to allow him to continue posting, degrades any sense of meteorological posts. It’s getting embarrassing for the forum at large.
  4. Unfortunately for coastal areas, the high radar estimates are being confirmed on the ground
  5. Agree but rainfall exceeding expectations along the NC coast. Radar estimates already showing 6-11”
  6. Fair enough, there was also no data point directly before landfall so it was a bit of a gray area but your point is taken. Most of what I have seen is a forecast of cat 1 at landfall which I agree with. Certainly possible it hits cat 2 at some point in its journey but inhibiting factors as it approaches land has always capped upward potential.
  7. Yeah… I’m wondering the same since I got weenied for essentially posting facts (path shifted east and it’s 65mph currently), and then saying it looks on track to hit as a cat 1 lol. Would love to know what he took issue with.
  8. Official forecast shifts east and continues to be progged as a Cat 1 at landfall. Everything seems to be on track intensity wise. 65 mph at last update
  9. Almost all prognostications have kept this a cat 1, around 85mph. I still think it has a good shot of becoming a hurricane which would be in line with the expectation. Could be wrong, but if it reaches hurricane status it’s not a bust. just because some people speculate, doesn’t mean that’s what the official forecast was. And we all know model guidance varies widely with every storm. Most topped it out as a cat 2 and I didn’t see one official forecast going to cat 2. Highest was 100, which may end up too high, but again, not by much.
  10. Eyewall looks to be forming with some lightning strikes around the center. May not matter downstream but seems to be ahead of schedule.
  11. Circulation becoming more evident on Brownsville Radar. I think she tops out around 90mph before weakening before landfall due to some pretty strong shear
  12. Watching a great lightning storm on my porch with my son who just said “I love weather”. That’s what it’s all about.
  13. I find it best to ignore people who make generalized statements like that. Based off of nothing but emotions. Especially when one or two storms can make a winter for this region. as for right now, storms passing just south of me in morris county but hear the thunder and see the lightning
  14. Only people who don’t understand how hurricane forecasts work called it Armageddon. Everyone else knew that indications for and still are for an above average hurricane season. This happens every single year.
  15. Nope… won’t let me change my name. Also doesn’t change the fact that your posts are obnoxious and repetitive.
  16. Crazy idea… don’t watch. Youve posted non stop about how little rain you’ll get in RDU. talk about insufferable.
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