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BoulderWX

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Everything posted by BoulderWX

  1. BoulderWX
    111 is pivotal on this run. Up the coast or slide out to sea along Carolina coast
  2. BoulderWX
    Sure does. Very much in line with my thoughts on a more moderate system. Thinking ceiling is a 3-6” event but hopefully most would be happy with that.
  3. BoulderWX
    If you’re looking for A GFS like solution you’re setting yourself up for disappointment not only in outcome, but with every model run between now and the weekend. If you’re good with a 3-6 or 4-8 storm, you can root for a CMC like depiction which is way more realistic than the GFS and seems like a fair middle ground as of now in this synoptic setup.
  4. BoulderWX
    Yup, same here to your east in Morristown. Should pick up that inch that many of the short range models were advertising. Nice to have things whitened up to start the week.
  5. BoulderWX
    ^17 hours ago when the mood was quite different.
  6. BoulderWX
    986 exiting Delmarva @ 159 on GFS. ahhh those were the days lol. ends up hugging the coast/staying just inland in this morning’s version of whack a mole. Just another solution at this point but good to see a storm showing up consistently on models
  7. BoulderWX
    The next week on this forum would make an incredible case study in psychology. Should be *fun* to watch.
  8. BoulderWX
    Best clown map of the season! Will only change 28 times between now and next Saturday
  9. BoulderWX
    Need to also realize that on the northern fringes there is going to be a lot of subsidence and dry air to overcome so would keep expectations in check riding the northern edge.
  10. BoulderWX
    Typical run to run noise but same idea.
  11. BoulderWX
    EURO LOL! this board is gonna need a Valium
  12. BoulderWX
    Yup - as often happens, we see the overcorrection north on the models for a couple of suites only to settle somewhere in the middle of the guidance or in this case the southern end of it.
  13. BoulderWX
    Looking at the icon at 78 and you would think for sure a good storm is coming. Confluence just eats it up. Southern NJ does really well in set tups like these. edit: and this time it wasn’t all eaten lol. Just another solution at this point.
  14. BoulderWX
    I’m not currently on board with ICON depiction but it begins to show us our envelope. Icon probably the best case scenario for this sub forum. Worst case is obviously being completely dry. verbatim, icon is a nice 3-6 event for most
  15. BoulderWX
    No point in model watching for next 36 hours - happy new years, all! also this (ducks):
  16. BoulderWX
    Would suck not get something in the next 15 days in this pattern, but stranger things have happened. Would honestly be happy with a 3-6 type event, I think the confluence is too much for anything larger at this point.
  17. BoulderWX
    Yeah, UKIE would make everyone pretty happy. Should start to have a better idea this weekend.
  18. BoulderWX
    Snow in SC/GA/NC at 225. Don’t see that too often
  19. BoulderWX
    I’d take the 6” from todays run for the first storm and run even if the second didn’t come to fruition… that’s how bad the past couple of years have been. Only 200+ hours out, what could go wrong lol
  20. BoulderWX
    I’ve seen a lot of interesting/crazy posts on this forum but “fake cold” may be the funniest. Thanks for that, I legit laughed out loud.
  21. BoulderWX
    Not great but I’ve seen flakes four of the last five days and will most likely have a white Christmas. Been cold much of the month and leading up to Christmas. December’s a win in my book.
  22. BoulderWX
    Picked up another half inch and snowing heavily. Have about 30 minutes left here in morris county. What a great way to start Christmas Eve with everything freshly whitened.
  23. BoulderWX
    Several models showing another half inch tomorrow AM for much of the area, with the HRRR showing up to an inch for some.
  24. BoulderWX
    Well this is awesome. Woke up middle of the night to an overperformer in my backyard. Probably close to 3” and looks like one more moderate band to push through. Another inch or so and a white Christmas may be on the table.
  25. BoulderWX
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