
BoulderWX
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
BoulderWX replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Today’s been relatively consistent sans the CMC and we know what that’s worth. Unfortunately don’t think more sampling helps us here. Hoping to be wrong.- 3,610 replies
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- snow
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
BoulderWX replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Focus day by day. They were relatively consistent for 3-4 days. Today we saw a complete reversal as energy gets sampled. Writing on the wall. Not even sure it’s worth roadtripping for this one anymore.- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
BoulderWX replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
They actually haven’t been. Relatively consistent minus the GFS today and now Euro. Writing is on the wall. Some will see snow but low amounts and not nearly as widespread as anticipated. IMHO- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
BoulderWX replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Went from 9” verbatim on Euro to 3” hahahahah. This is why I made my previous comment. UKIE brought me from 10 to 3 as well. lol- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
BoulderWX replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Lovely… I’ll let it play out- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
BoulderWX replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I’d take 4-6” - I’m in no way expecting double digit snowfall.- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
BoulderWX replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Hoping you’re right my man. I’d love 6” and I don’t care if it rains 2 days later. Let me just see some snow fall on a weekend (or any day)- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
BoulderWX replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Morris county NJ - Morristown- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
BoulderWX replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Sorry that was more being glib because I’ve been burned so many times, sorry for the confusion. That said 06 and 12z took a big step back on the higher amounts. We’ll have to wait and see and again sorry for the off the cuff remark, didn’t mean to confuse anyone. never like being in the bullseye for several days when it’s this far out.- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
BoulderWX replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Been Jack potted every run last night in NNJ. Definitely not happening but I suppose it’s nice to track something. Also it’s a weekend storm so if somewhere does get 6+, worth a drive. Good luck all- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
BoulderWX replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Every map has me in the bullseye for 6-10. As most of you know me, that doesn’t make me feel an ounce of confidence.- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
BoulderWX replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
People so pumped for an event 5 days out. Don’t worry about specifics right now. In fact that shouldn’t happen for many until Friday. Tomorrow night and Thursday things should distract crystallizing. I’ve been in a great spot for the last 2 days and I take that with the biggest grain of salt and shot of tequila. something to track. Nothing more. Nothing less.- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
BoulderWX replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Storm on the table. No worrying about semantics now. Will check back wednesday or Thursday- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
BoulderWX replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I’d take that in a second. Road trip weekend.- 3,610 replies
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
BoulderWX replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Take a model run series off and come back to exactly your prediction. Supression depression. I know we’re a week off but overwhelming guidance shows a souther slidern. Some seas will see flakes but this is definitely not a snow storms lol for NY metro- 3,610 replies
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GFS remains relatively consistent at 00z and 06z. Consistency doesn’t mean accuracy but nice to see a storm several runs in a row.
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
BoulderWX replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Some decent runs today from the GFS. Honestly would have taken any of them, but this one would make up for a lot a of disappointment the past two years. still putting chances of over 3” snowfall at 15% this far out but I’ll take the potential as something to track- 3,610 replies
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Ahhh if only…
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Never said there won’t be storms to track, if you’re going to talk about me not knowing what I’m talking about and talking in absolutes it would probably be best if you were accurate in your depiction of what I posted. Literally said I was glad he was finally accepting that there won’t be a major pattern change the first half of this month and that in order to get a cold storm along 95, everything would have to line up exactly right and there is nothing to support that scenario. That’s all.
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Welcome back to reality! First step is acceptance and good to see you’ve checked that box!
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Nothing at all to worry about. Looking at about .50 - 1.00”
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If you want any real chances of a snowstorm before February all bets point to the Rockies. Anything on the east coast including NE will be a thread the needle through timing situation. I think we have a few chances in February but I will go on record as saying I don’t see enough of a pattern shift to produce any meaningful snow along the east coast, particularly the 95 corridor until the last week of January into February. would love to be wrong and wilL admit if I am, but not seeing anything that gets me excited about a colD and snowy January
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Moderate-High Impact Storm Noon Sun Dec 17, 2023 - 4PM Mon Dec 18. Flooding rain I95 corridor northwestward, coastal tidal flooding, brief periods of damaging 50 MPH+ wind gusts LI/CT Monday, ends as a little wet snow interior elevations Tue morning.
BoulderWX replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Up to 4.25” as back edge pulls through with heavy downpours. Only one gust of wind recorded, topping out around 15mph- 489 replies
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Moderate-High Impact Storm Noon Sun Dec 17, 2023 - 4PM Mon Dec 18. Flooding rain I95 corridor northwestward, coastal tidal flooding, brief periods of damaging 50 MPH+ wind gusts LI/CT Monday, ends as a little wet snow interior elevations Tue morning.
BoulderWX replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Just topped 4” for the event. Luckily winds haven’t been bad IMBY or we’d be having some major issues- 489 replies
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Moderate-High Impact Storm Noon Sun Dec 17, 2023 - 4PM Mon Dec 18. Flooding rain I95 corridor northwestward, coastal tidal flooding, brief periods of damaging 50 MPH+ wind gusts LI/CT Monday, ends as a little wet snow interior elevations Tue morning.
BoulderWX replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Up to 2.75” of rain but little to no wind. Not even breezy.- 489 replies
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