BoulderWX
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Everything posted by BoulderWX
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Im Right there with you. My official call is 3.7” with a lot of sleet 19/7
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12Z HRRR looks really nice for NYC metro area - and yes I know it’s the long range and the HRRR lol
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17 degrees
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GFS looks to Hold serve at 00z
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ICON bumps north a bit - not a huge jump but noticeable
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Always throw out a guess for each storm - thinking 3.7” and a decent amount of sleet. (Morristown) 27 degrees
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NAM is the only model where I’d be frustrated were it to occur but the I can’t rule it out. NYC, north and east look best ATM as well as LHV
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Agreed 100%
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31 - still looking like a 1pm start?
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A mean of .4 to .6 for almost the entire subforum
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This is the worst case portrayed and I’d still get 4 - not bad
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I mean it’s semantics at the end of the day and they have to cut off somewhere. The main thing is the public is informed either way whether you call it an advisory or warning. An inch or two difference in projection is all that’s different. Never understood why people cared so much about that - if you’re in the borderline of warning vs advisory you clearly know it could go either way.
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Best run yet verbatim fo mby… I really need to stop looking. It will be what it is, most likely 3-6” fo many
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Im right by you in Morristown; also that map from DT isn’t one of his worst. lol
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I’d also much rather a few less inches and getting a daytime snow than it all falling overnight. I like where we are
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Looks fair
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Mt. Holly bullish still
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Winter Storm Warning for Sussex and Morris. 5-8
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Miss the days when it’s wasn’t just for ratings - someone will see above 6 but many Mets are pushing wide areas of 6-10.
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Yeah, not as robust with the precip field. off for the afternoon - but hoping for a 3-5 event still. Merry Christmas!
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Yeah he has 6-10 for a large area, very bullish when even the models showing the most snow, show it in a relatively confined area. I think some get 6+ but the wide swath he has is surprising to me.
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Not very accurate in the long term - somewhat better within 10 hours and it’s Kuchera. I’d look at 10:1 QPF
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And could very well be close to the solution. I’m Much less confident in a 4+ storm than I was last yesterday at this time but 3-5 would be excellent still
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Rare storm where we’ll be lower than NYC - agreed. Just want enough to be able to go sledding with my son.
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Not sure where you are but that’s reasonable, I’m on the 3-6 train for most, LHV will do best. Would be a ton of fun for the day after Christmas if we can get 3-6
