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BoulderWX

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Everything posted by BoulderWX

  1. 4" OTG in Morristown; Heaviest rates of the storm currently; look to have another hour of moderate snow before winding down.
  2. was expecting the same based on radar returns the last 30 minutes, but still nothing...
  3. 20 DBZ returns overhead hopefully will saturate the atmosphere; just virga currently
  4. was just going to say; based on those returns I could see this starting earlier than modeled which was supposed to be 9/10 for my area
  5. I'm with you neighbor; I'm going with 2" for me in Morristown, enough to make things festive hopefully
  6. RAP (i know) on the northern end of the guidance; all in all things like good for a region wide 2-4" (up to 6 locally). good luck all
  7. I'm riding the northern edge in Morristown so could see 1 or 4 inches just as easily depending how far north this goes; hoping for at least 2" to cover everything up - im not greedy
  8. Its another 2-4" depiction; people shouldn't fret over each run of each model; this is a 1-3 or 2-4 event for most - just sit back and enjoy a little holiday snow
  9. nor do I -- just sharing what it showed. I do think 1-3" is on the table for many
  10. Ignore; well known troll who is post limited. NAM is 3-5 region wide FWIW
  11. NAM would be 9-12 hours of light to moderate snow verbatim... I'd take that and run
  12. Why are we talking about storms that disappeared and then came back. Obviously we know that can happen. Every storm is unique. Just as we can see things turn more positive in upcoming runs, it’s equally likely that things stay the same or trend worse. No amount of talking about past storms changed that.
  13. This a possibility with the stronger confluence. Suppression has always been on the table.
  14. It didn’t go great from 114 but it’s within. The envelope of solutions.
  15. Better LP pressure at 108 just not reflected on the precip shield. Track more important so let’s see where it goes from here
  16. *for entertainment purposes for those around MMU* Saturday - 12Z Suite @ *10:1 ratios* - MMU - net gain or loss from 00z Friday runs - CMC: 5” (- 7.9”) - GFS: 5” (+ 5”) - EURO: 4” (-13”) - ICON: 18.3” (+ 18.1”) - UKIE: 18” (+ 11.6”) Blend Of Models = 10” Based on this suite alone, two clear and tightly clustered camps around 5 and 18 lol
  17. Temporarily but even with that and it being furthest west of the guidance, the entire forum sees over a foot @10:1 - that was a beautiful run, and being inland I’m biased towards it but I always shoot towards the middle and don’t think it will be that far west. This is fun!
  18. UKIE Looking great forum wide through 123. Next few frames will be telling. edit: looks like a stall between 129 and 132. Will be an epic run verbatim
  19. I only have it to 42 - what site are you using. I’m using pivotal at 10:1 for my tracker I started last night but would love to peak ahead lol
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