WWUS40 KWNS 151929
WWP7
TORNADO WATCH PROBABILITIES FOR WT 0187
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0226 PM CDT FRI MAY 15 2020
WT 0187
PROBABILITY TABLE:
PROB OF 2 OR MORE TORNADOES : 40%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE STRONG /EF2-EF5/ TORNADOES : 20%
PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE WIND EVENTS : 80%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE WIND EVENTS >= 65 KNOTS : 20%
PROB OF 10 OR MORE SEVERE HAIL EVENTS : 40%
PROB OF 1 OR MORE HAIL EVENTS >= 2 INCHES : 20%
PROB OF 6 OR MORE COMBINED SEVERE HAIL/WIND EVENTS : >95%
&&
ATTRIBUTE TABLE:
MAX HAIL /INCHES/ : 1.5
MAX WIND GUSTS SURFACE /KNOTS/ : 60
MAX TOPS /X 100 FEET/ : 500
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR /DEGREES AND KNOTS/ : 27035
PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION : NO
I presume it'll clear out completely in a bit, but some differential heating might not be a bad thing given that the trigger has been in question for this afternoon.
3km nammy does a pretty good job of suppressing action out ahead of the front as Wiz mentioned for lack of a trigger. Weak height rises during the course of the entire day. Granted it does get fairly unstable.
The spillway has been ripping pretty good the last few weeks. Can hear it from a good ways across the dam. Not quite as much water coming over as early last April, but certainly a torrent in its own right.
Not sure where you are at but the cell definitely spiked up through Agawam, Forest Park, and E Longmeadow. Maybe also up into Chicopee. Has weakened a bit since. Anyway, congrats.
FYI... ENX (and normally BOX) data is available in the pulldowns and a little toggling button at the bottom. It's not as nice as radarscope obviously, but handy for reference and in comparison with the local data. Also kind of nice to be able to use with standard google maps functionality underneath.
It won't be great, but you should see stuff tracking toward you fairly well. Use the 2 degree scan because the 1 degree scan is pretty well blocked to the east by the Pelham hills.
We actually have a piece of property lined up in W Swanzey that would work pretty well for EEN/etc... but suffice to say this isn't really the ideal time to be fundraising
Given that these things were scheduled and not acute failures, a June repair at OKX is a bit questionable. I'd have picked Sept or something. Maybe work on the SE in June.
Yeah. 2 weeks they're saying but I've found that they do a pretty good job getting things done ahead of schedule usually. Pedestal swap is a big PITA though.