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radarman

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Everything posted by radarman

  1. radarman
    Done now? Still not sure
  2. radarman
    Has the AI Euro scored a coup yet? I was really interested and watched it closely last year, not just here but across the CONUS, and my anecdotal take was that it sucked for east coast cyclogenesis and atmospheric rivers out west. But maybe I missed something.
  3. radarman
    I don't think this is inherently true... more runs should provide smaller moves per run if the model is stable and the assimilation is consistent.
  4. radarman
    When in doubt take the warm one Especially 3 weeks before solstice With a retreating high A somewhat cold but not frigid antecedent airmass In a warming background With almost every other model on its side
  5. radarman
    yep, you're in the game. some of those totals include sunday night / monday. Jack on the RGEM is like 8-10" in the Taconics. Been a while since they've had a nice early season dump.
  6. radarman
    Reggie comes out a little slower and ends up deeper at the surface, but otherwise stays pretty consistent with 12z.
  7. radarman
    Stratton just exhaled
  8. radarman
    toss at your peril
  9. radarman
    RGEM a bit stronger. Elevated interior snows NOP.
  10. radarman
    It would be great to window that over the northeast US and limit it to known winter precip events. Yes it's an IMBY interest but not just as a weenie... in terms of weighted impact those are the highest value runs.
  11. radarman
    Not shocked. Question is if this the furthest run NW we see or if it just keeps ticking warmer.
  12. radarman
    Member when the euro products would only make small run to run moves inside day 4?
  13. radarman
    Lars' runt son he wouldn't acknowledge
  14. radarman
    Are we counting EricNH and SnowNH?
  15. radarman
    Agree it looks good right now, but too close. I'm comfy betting on a NW trend at day 4 in early Dec that depends on a cf penetrating into warmish ocean water and a baroclinic zone setting up offshore or near shore.
  16. radarman
    Not only do I expect this to be rain IYBY I expect it to be mostly rain IMBY too. So not really a homer post. Dendrite's scenario from a few mins ago would be perfect here and hope he's right. But we've seen a steady march NW from the suppressed nonsense a few days ago. NAM IMO will confirm eventually and climo is on the side of elevated interior event.
  17. radarman
    Looks great up there right now. Still time for a PF jackpot though
  18. radarman
    Euro will be mocked over this all winter. We're getting revenge for the Ryder Cup.
  19. radarman
    Not CNE ski areas, but the worm is turning
  20. radarman
    In that case we just hug climo... which is basically the GFS... a nice hit for the elevated interior. As an aside the euro AI is only worth looking at like you'd look at a car on fire on the side of the road.
  21. radarman
    considering the other models at 12z I think it's probably good we got a run coming in hot.
  22. radarman
    That back edge in view from Treehouse
  23. radarman
    Steady rain for the parade in Plymouth today. I'm in Sandwich and have had a decent amount.
  24. radarman
    Catching this streamer
  25. radarman
    Move to BTown if you want severe
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