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radarman

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Everything posted by radarman

  1. Ice fishermen reporting 8-12" depths in general. Probably more in the cold spots. I'd have to think the ponds even in eastern MA would be plenty safe, but who knows these days. It's like night and day, in temps and mindset.
  2. Yeah, it's been amazing. I'd say the best skating since 09/10. We've had good days since then, but not so early and so consistently. Pickup pond hockey is happening all over the valley like we were transported back in time 50 years.
  3. Incredible winter morning out there Top 5er
  4. Yeah you can see backfilling over the northern part of the Catskills. They've already done well and should keep stacking up. Flakes have begun here after a pretty solid period of virga
  5. I got like 2.5" on Boxing Day in Noho. Went to a funeral the next morning and in spots was bare ground due to winds.
  6. I'm thinking a glorified snow squall NOP, with ----sn before and after a 60-90 minute slug
  7. 19/-5 Snowflakes will be falling like dandruff Dandruff will be falling like snowflakes
  8. Agree about the dry air... what might sometimes be small flakes in a subsidence zone w/ a heavy band to the west will just sublimate entirely. Brief heavy burst should yield an inch or two.
  9. Catamount should be skiing well on Saturday. It's been pretty rare for the Taconics to maybe jack a snowstorm in recent years. Possibly an early season event like 3-4 years ago that rained on most of us.
  10. Agree. And we do understand that blocking has been a thorn in their side forever, but the euro completely spit the bit on the 12/2 storm. The GFS did pretty badly on the 12/14 system. They all basically failed inside day 3 for today. And then you have what you mentioned above. They frickin nailed 12/19 though, that's for sure
  11. Models have been atrocious this month Seriously
  12. Temps in the valley generally 35 or 36. Would be snow with any rates but there's no rates.
  13. Out here I'm kind of thinking a March like system on Tuesday. Cold column but warmish BL. Elevation gradient locally. Upside down with paste esp in the valley bottoms all stuck to trees by the end. Inflow of moisture channeling up the valley, favoring hills EOR. Low end advy event above 400' or so. CMC like but not exactly. We shall see.
  14. Tell me it's not winter while you're freezing to death on east winds at Fenway
  15. I doubt it would. It isn't about hitting climo averages. I think most would sign for a 3 footer and then spring. I'd sign for 1" a day for the next 4 mos myself.
  16. QPF ramping down on the GFS. Will a 6" partially glacial pack withstand a 48hr warmup and maybe 3/4" rain? My guess is yeah, and even if not a coating to measurable seems kind of likely before christmas anyway.
  17. with respect to that surface hp around the 22nd/23rd, there isn't much to suggest we're gonna run a big moisture plume into it right now and even a 6z gfs front ender doesn't have a lot of support at this time (including from 12z). But maybe a deamplifying wave of some kind could be in play on the front side of the ridge going up in the center of the CONUS. Normally that's not gonna excite most people, but could be the difference in a white Christmas for some.
  18. I'll take my chances with stout HP at this range on that model in the upcoming pattern
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