Might mean nuttin', might mean sumptin', but the 12z NAM and current HRRR are initiating those storms in wester PA, MD and WV a little further north and weaker than the current radar indicates. (Yes, radar hallucination aren't just for winter.)
A few weeks ago saw a dead lightning bug on an outside window ledge. Way too early to see one. But I can't imagine he (or she) was leftover from last season and just sat there the whole time without being blown away by a gust or someone coming along to snack on him (or her).
I was reading some more over at AccuWx. It's an odd summer to forecast from an analog stand point -- third year La Nina, easterly QBO, -IDO -- not a lot of matching analogs. Having said all that, the only season I would feel comfortable forecasting below normal temps is spring. My hunch is we'll flip the switch soon enough and summer of azz will commence.
Think the worst missed me just to the south, hearing plenty of thunder in that direction. But things are pretty much over here. M'eh (is my official storm report).
A friend just to my west in Kulpsville reported hail, but it didn't reach my doorstep. After a gust to two, just mod rain with thunder. Definitely looks worse on radar than what I'm experiencing.
Just a quick update on the above forecast for summer 2022...
Still looking like +2 to +3 above average temps for the I-95 corridor from Boston down to DC with above average precipitation.
The western plains/Rockies foothills are looking like the big winners for scorching heat this summer.
Just like winters of yore, when the GFS would advertise a snowstorm a week+ out, take it away in the 3-7 day range, then bring it back in the final 48 hours.
Will we see sun today?? 59F
Had to go back several pages to find this thread. Anyway...
Paul Pastelok at Accuwx issued his summer outlook on 4/26. No real surprises, another summer of temps averaging +2 to +3 above normal. He also thinks it will be a wet summer for us with plenty of chances for severe -- we could maintain out new status as "tornado ally".
The other thing that stood out is the west will continue experiencing high heat and drought conditions.
Only 144 days until fall!