Boston Bulldog

The zookeeper is really leaving us in suspense

They all should drop momentarily

Yeah light-moderate. Goods are just east.

With ease. Logan likely crosses it at the 1pm report

Similar conditions here. Just on the fringe of an all-timer, but still a fantastic storm

Easterly firehose look is beginning to set up over Massachusetts Bay

Central Park releasing new totals at 7am?

Total dud so far. Cannot shake the dry air and it appears to be continuing to eat upstream echos

Finally steady light-moderate snow, now we go

Dry air is incredibly stubborn right now, not a flake currently despite radar looking solid overhead. Tilt 4 looks amazing, but tilt 1 is shoddy which is a classic dry air signature. It should flip to a wall of white shortly, but the wait has been pretty agonizing

Pretty good illustration of the dry air eroding thanks to easterly flow providing the boost necessary to get the column saturated. That said, still sputtering in the South End, let's get this going ASAP

Flakes coming down in fits and starts, struggling to get going. Dry air still doing a good number in Boston

She's a beaut. Convection beginning to pop over the bombing surface low.

Pre-storm anxiety is through the roof in this thread as flakes begin to fall. As it always seems to be with these coastals. Models deserve cursory consideration at this point; the most important data right now is radar, surface analysis, mid-level analysis, and SPC mesoscale products. The ground truth, not simulation. It's easier to toss solutions now than just 12 hours ago or so given the ability to nitpick initialization of features in the storm. All models are wrong, some are useful. I think the latest NAM did a crap job taking a glace around the system, that's not useful

Jan 22 had some major burp runs from global within 24 hours. Ultimately the thing did shift east a bit, but not as far as the horrific runs did. I’m a bit spooked, but at this point nowcasting and mesos have more credence

Big time rates near Waitsfield VT, several inches down already

Shocked this clown isn’t posting CFS maps. Storm canceled

Looks like the GFS still has us in the game. Nice recovery, pretty much holds serve from 18z

Slight regression in heights at 60 hours on GFS. This run isn't pushing farther west if I had to guess

GFS builds the ridge out ahead of the system a bit more at 72 hours

Welp, there goes my north trend prediction

Bit of a northward tickle from 12z to 0z on the GFS it appears. The differences upstream over NY state at 18z on Weds are quite shocking between the GFS and even the Euro compared to the NAM. There’s been a very steady and now becoming quite substantial northern trend on AIFS and Euro-AI models over the past couple days. Just look at projections for 2/19 at 0z since 12z on Valentine’s Day. The N-NE extent of QPF has gone from the tristate region to CNE. The GFS has also mirrored these steady ticks over the last 48 hours. Been thinking about medium range overmodeled confluence over recent days, looks like that was indeed the case again. What DOES give me pause on this is the NAM is getting closer to range and is doubling down on the weaker/south idea.

Nice little event, saw just under 2 inches of wet-medium density snow on cold surfaces near Port Washington!

How is this thread not a 5 alarm fire after the 0z GFS!?