Boston Bulldog

The predictability barrier really is a humbling beast. All of the advancements in modeling technology and yet we still can't get around it! Hard to ignore how hard the models are driving warmth across the 3.4 as we push forward though

Nuking huge aggies in BOS

NAM backed off at 0z. Significantly

NAM was the first to find the 1/17 storm…

This line is a very prominent scar visible from I-89 for those traveling back to Boston from NNE. Despite its eye catching location it is infrequently skied, partially due to the fact it takes a ton of snow to fill in. There isn’t a ton of compelling backcountry in “Congrats Dendrite” land, but sometimes this punchy fall line shot can do the trick. Decided to give it a go in slightly low-tide conditions this morning before work and was pleasantly surprised! The powerline has some good pitch and some serious teeth across its main cliff band. There’s a couple hundred vertical of good fall line turns. What caught my eye though were the wide open glades adjacent to the main line!

Still need to see more cross guidance agreement, but NAM/GFS kind of remind me of the 1/17 advisory event that really popped up out of nowhere within 72 hours or so

Are they just not going to do a 7pm Central Park update?

The zookeeper is really leaving us in suspense

They all should drop momentarily

Yeah light-moderate. Goods are just east.

With ease. Logan likely crosses it at the 1pm report

Similar conditions here. Just on the fringe of an all-timer, but still a fantastic storm

Easterly firehose look is beginning to set up over Massachusetts Bay

Central Park releasing new totals at 7am?

Total dud so far. Cannot shake the dry air and it appears to be continuing to eat upstream echos

Finally steady light-moderate snow, now we go

Dry air is incredibly stubborn right now, not a flake currently despite radar looking solid overhead. Tilt 4 looks amazing, but tilt 1 is shoddy which is a classic dry air signature. It should flip to a wall of white shortly, but the wait has been pretty agonizing

Pretty good illustration of the dry air eroding thanks to easterly flow providing the boost necessary to get the column saturated. That said, still sputtering in the South End, let's get this going ASAP

Flakes coming down in fits and starts, struggling to get going. Dry air still doing a good number in Boston

She's a beaut. Convection beginning to pop over the bombing surface low.

Pre-storm anxiety is through the roof in this thread as flakes begin to fall. As it always seems to be with these coastals. Models deserve cursory consideration at this point; the most important data right now is radar, surface analysis, mid-level analysis, and SPC mesoscale products. The ground truth, not simulation. It's easier to toss solutions now than just 12 hours ago or so given the ability to nitpick initialization of features in the storm. All models are wrong, some are useful. I think the latest NAM did a crap job taking a glace around the system, that's not useful

Jan 22 had some major burp runs from global within 24 hours. Ultimately the thing did shift east a bit, but not as far as the horrific runs did. I’m a bit spooked, but at this point nowcasting and mesos have more credence

Big time rates near Waitsfield VT, several inches down already

Shocked this clown isn’t posting CFS maps. Storm canceled