aggiegeog

It still looks like some sleet ending as snow tomorrow north of I-20. Accumulations generally under an inch except 2 to an isolated 3 inches near Red River.

Looks like more sleet and snow for North Texas this morning and showers elsewhere. Friday may bring snow to the northern half of Texas. Saturday morning looks like it may being a widespread hard freeze.

Raining pretty heavy with temps in 33 to 36 range around Tyler.

FTW went with WWA SHV decided on just a special statement. Similar impacts expected though across North Texas and Northeast Texas being low 30s and scattered light rain. Very light ice accretion is possible on elevated surfaces. Can't rule out black ice on bridges.

Another small bullet left to dodge tonight/tomorrow. Nothing major but could see some freezing rain or sleet across Central, North and Northeast Texas if temps come in a touch colder.

Freezing drizzle is causing major issues in the Tyler area. I-20 was shut down for a short time until TxDOT could bring in sand.

I think DFW particularly western areas may be less than 0.1" with over 0.25" east of Terrell.

FTW kicks off what will likely be a major expansion of warnings that will eventually stretch from the Hill Country to NE TX. Likely to include Austin, Waco, maybe Tyler and up to Paris and maybe down to San Antonio. Amounts trending down for N TX and up for Central and eastern Texas.

SHV increased their expected icing for their western zones significantly. I imagine FTW will consider increasing their eastern zones to match. This would bring warnings potentially to the entire NE portion of FTW.

Yep not much lift and precip begins in low level clouds that are 50 degrees. There won't be much time for freezing into sleet but it's possible that temps in low 20s could freeze it into sleet before reaching ground in North Texas.

With the cold so shallow not sure drying will be an issue. Could lead to introduction of more sleet for North Texas as cold will be a bit deeper than expected. Main change is a large shift SE in the freezing rain line.

Now appearing likely that the freezing rain will sag south of a San Antonio to Texarkana line by Thursday morning. A massive area could see a coating of ice up to >0.25" closer to Red River.

Front is trending colder and faster vs models. Globals see mid levels and don't drive front south. This front has tons of momentum and it will drive south fast and likely won't slow until reaching the Gulf tomorrow night. Strong surface high pressing cold downhill regardless of upper level winds. This will be a long duration freezing drizzle event with temps in 22 to 26 range across N TX. For E TX, the freezing line will be much trickier but I'll side with colder models and go with 29 to 34 during the event for the Tyler area. That means ice on elevated surfaces but roads should be decent here. For N TX, roads will be bad Wed and Thu.

This week looks cold with a good chance for freezing rain in North Texas later in the week.

Snow beginning to accumulate in Lindale. I did not expect anything more than flurries so a nice surprise.

A nice dusting of snow across much of East Texas this morning from a decent little band of powder snow.

We are mainly sleet with some snow, very little ice buildup thankfully. We may get lucky and get a couple inches of sleet and snow instead of the forecasted 1/3" ice and 1/2" snow.

Freezing rain and some sleet here. Not much icing yet with 30F and no wind. Temp dropping so I expect more icing and more sleet shortly.

Freeze line hs arrived in my area. Raining moderately for a while now.

Freeze line is basically from Junction to DFW to Paris. Here it is holding about 40 but heavier precip about to move in and temps look like it drops to mid 30s with that.Freeze line is basically from Junction to South of DFW (though Dallas itself is holding at 34) to Paris. Here it is holding about 40 with mid 30s just NW of here.

Not a high chance but if trends continue this could turn from expected ice storm to one of the biggest snows in DFW history.

There are growing hints that this could be a snow event for DFW though I would still lean towards a primarily sleet event.

WRF is extremely fast with the cold and gets me down to low 20s by Thu morning. I think that is likely overdone but it does illustrate that the potential is there even far SE of DFW for a major winter storm. I think DFW is under 0.25" ice, 1 to 2" sleet and 1 to 4" snow with 6" possible for far northwestern DFW. I expect worst ice to be from Athens to Canton to Mt Pleasant where accretion may be pushing 0.5" for transition to sleet and snow. Ice line may make it down to a College Station to Marshall line. Below that only expect rain mixed with sleet late Thu and again Saturday.

Looks like 1-2 feet for the NM ski resorts. Upwards of 3 feet for the high peaks.

Beyond the big storm Thursday, the upper low Saturday has sneaky potential to lay down a white cover to the ice. GEFS starting to show snow on a few panels Saturday afternoon.