FXWX

got it... thanks

But they show a 12 to 16" color zone?

Much like summer thunderstorm rainfall totals, these meso-scale banding events can have extreme differences across very small distances; think lake effect snows??? I would dismiss it off hand?

2.2 Burlington

-3 here

Sitting at 2 degrees

I agree 100% with your general amounts overview... This is going to be a fun nowcast looking for short-term sfc obs & radar trends Saturday morning trying to sniff out the max zones before they explode? That's assuming this doesn't just fail to materialize... Trust nothing until you see the whites of their eyes type of forecasting call. Lol

I think advisories will eventually be necessary for other areas as well... North Shore a lock, but I could see the trigger being pulled for lower end advisories anywhere from portions of eastern / southeastern CT on across RI... Sometimes they will issue advisories for a glorified snow shower setup, but not jump in one a widespread solid light accumulation event...

Yep... I think it is now a foregone conclusion that there are going to be a couple of sweet spots... Lots of support, in my opinion, for a solid 3-5 inch zone across southeast CT northward along and either side of the CT/RI border area (I-395 corridor) eastward across much of RI; possibly parts of the Cape... But I expect a high-end advisory level / low-grade warning (4-8") somewhere in eastern Mass but not locked into the specific zone at this time; probably a nowcast call just before it really shows itself.

Lol... Thanks Scott; I thought it was some special run of the AI... When I saw Will use the term, I though it must be legit... I'm familiar with Terminator, but did not make the connection...

Excuse my ignorance, but the difference between "skynet" and the other euro data sources?

Also, like all model guidance, we can all feel different about the value of a particular model and/or product. Be it the lowly Nam or the Euro... We all, or at least I do, have our own favorites and routines...

I don't disagree in general... I'm pretty clueless as to these products are actually constructed, and yes the sample size is very small. But I've seen enough positive trends this cold season to use them for significant trends in the 7 to 10 day period. I may never really understand how the AI products are generated, but think they have shown value... That does not mean take them verbatim, but they should be used to for trends and support...

I know, but not as bullish as was hoping... Certainly not dismissing the potential but hoping for more substantial trends...

The lack of AI support for the Feb 14 period is concerning... I had zeroed in on that period, but can't feel very confident unless a favorable AI trend comes on board soon?