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WxWatcher007

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Everything posted by WxWatcher007

  1. WxWatcher007
    This huge professional thing I've been working on for months is almost at its conclusion and I have no idea how it'll shake out. It can really go either way.
  2. WxWatcher007
    Had a heck of a boomer here this morning. Everything rattled.
  3. WxWatcher007
    I’m not on the hyperactive train yet with SSTs being what they are, but the other signals for another big peak are glaring.
  4. WxWatcher007
    The number of cloudy days are really getting to some of the people I know.
  5. WxWatcher007
    Lol I thought that was the final
  6. WxWatcher007
    I only caught the end, but that was an excellent HR derby.
  7. WxWatcher007
    Ok here’s my Elsa chase video. Decent system. I normally wouldn’t have chased but I was already in Georgia so it wasn’t too long a trip. Can’t wait to hit the road again.
  8. WxWatcher007
    So true. Glacier is spectacular.
  9. WxWatcher007
    Gotta pull everything else together but here’s one quick video from my Elsa chase.
  10. WxWatcher007
    Weird little storm, but then again it’s not everyday you see an early July MDR wave develop and run from the west coast of Florida to New England. On to the next one.
  11. WxWatcher007
    One thing that I’m not ready to jump on but has my interest is the “super” long range guidance out there showing both a suppressed zone for African waves to roll off and develop, and a upper level pattern that could favor western Atlantic ridging. Everything I’ve seen short of the SST anomalies (which are important) send a signal for an active season. Whether the steering pattern would allow for another anomalously high landfall year remains to be seen.
  12. WxWatcher007
    Yup. Wake me up on August 20 and show me the ensemble guidance. You won’t predict the predominant steering pattern in September this early.
  13. WxWatcher007
    Started talking about potential in my group chat on June 22. Obviously there’s a ton that happens between speculation and game time but sometimes these signals are as solid as it gets. Makes it all the more frustrating that the Euro ensembles are really struggling with TC genesis signals even at very short range. Makes blending much more difficult IMO.
  14. WxWatcher007
  15. WxWatcher007
    https://www.nesdis.noaa.gov/content/tropical-storm-elsa-sets-records-2021-atlantic-hurricane-season
  16. WxWatcher007
    For posterity...on July 4th the Euro had Elsa getting ripped apart off the SE Coast while the GFS had a system going into Florida and up part of the East Coast. Two days later hurricane warnings were issued for the Florida coast. Tropical tracking is not easy.
  17. WxWatcher007
  18. WxWatcher007
    We'll see We toss like Euro wind gust products?
  19. WxWatcher007
    Impressive event in CT, certainly aided by the recent rainfall.
  20. WxWatcher007
  21. WxWatcher007
  22. WxWatcher007
  23. WxWatcher007
    Seeing flash flood reports from Fairfield County. Probably need a warning up there.
  24. WxWatcher007
  25. WxWatcher007
    Good luck to everyone up there today. Hope you get smoked.
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