WxWatcher007

Funnel cloud was seen in Dutchess County per spotter report just before that warning was issued.

TOR warning up for a cell heading into western CT.

I’m clearly bored Mesoscale Discussion 0402 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1049 AM CDT Wed Apr 21 2021 Areas affected...Western MA...NY Hudson Valley...Western/Central Long Island...Western CT...NJ Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible Valid 211549Z - 211815Z Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent SUMMARY...Thunderstorm development is anticipated over the next hour or two along a cold front progressing through the Northeast. Damaging wind gusts are possible with these storms and trends are being monitored for possible Severe Thunderstorm Watch issuance. DISCUSSION...Recent surface analysis places a low near the NY/NJ/PA border intersection. A warm front extends eastward/northeastward from this low across southern NY through western MA and off the far southern ME coast. This low is embedded within a broad area of low pressure preceding a strong frontal surge attendant to a shortwave moving into western PA/NY. This low is expected to deepen over the next few hours ahead of the front while the warm front lifts northward. As a result, temperatures in the low to mid 60s will likely be in place ahead of the front from western MA through central NJ. Low-level moisture will be modest (i.e. in upper 40s/low 50s) but the steep low and mid-level lapse rates will foster modest buoyancy. Expectation is that deeper convection will begin developing along the front during the next hour or two before then moving quickly eastward across the region. Previously mentioned steep low-level lapse rates coupled with deep convection and strengthening low to mid-level flow will result in the potential for damaging wind gusts as the storms move through. Storm coverage may be high enough to merit watch issuance and convective trends are being monitored closely. ..Mosier/Guyer.. 04/21/2021

Yeah, that stuff moving into northern Hartford County looks pretty decent.

Probably irrelevant, but I didn't expect it to be this breezy. My VP2 gusted to 24mph which is pretty decent given how it is sited.

In Kansas?

Latest NAM looked decent for some storms in CT, especially in western CT. Sounding looked alright for the Hartford area. Would prefer more DCAPE but hopefully I can get some good pics today.

Cool neutral at best ASO in my opinion. I think a niño is highly unlikely.

The loop is really interesting. It looks like a buzzsaw that just stops short of landfall. Good for the people out there. Florida has seen its fair share of close calls too. Matthew, Dorian, and Isaias come to mind.

I’m not as big into connecting the hemispheric dots, but folks like HM think the recurve will dislodge the current pattern and potentially open up severe season in the plains. It snowed here last May

The structure actually looks a bit worse than before but man what a monster. Wish we had some visible imagery.

190mph/888mb Absolutely ridiculous for April.

I don’t usually look at WPAC stuff, but this one is a beauty.

Congrats! You just never know where life will take you. I'm happy for you.

I'm only here for the spinning cyclones. It doesn't snow anymore

This was a really hard week, but I’m happy to introduce my newest art acquisition. This is the one of a few I just got:

Totally agree. Need good spots for shelf cloud season, high elevation vistas, and big surf.

All I’m asking for is something chase worthy. This winter sucked for that.

35.5/34 Rain/Snow mix with more flakes.

Wind outlook I really might head west if there’s something high end in the plains this May/June.

NHC updated their report on Isaias and I found it interesting how the tornado reports were so close to the center. Perhaps it’s because of the baroclinic enhancement? I guess it could also be proximity to the ocean.

Don’t forget tropical. Long Island Express the sequel is coming in August. Between snow, severe, drought, and tropical we should achieve total deforestation by Labor Day.

This thread. This wholesome and happy thread.