I would say that we don’t know what’ll happen, but we can read the tea leaves to make an educated guess and I don’t think anyone here would say we see below normal odds of a torch at least part of Feb, and not just because of Nina climo.
To be clear, I’m not trying to be negative. I want cold and snow and lots of it. I’m just bearish until I actually see meaningful change here. No doubt it’s getting better the next week in NNE.