Remember, the window for a rainstorm is much larger than for a snowstorm.
I think what many here do is use the lead time as a bargaining chip. X event is 7 days a way, it can change, etc etc. with the assumption that these changes will always be positive.
Im being realistic, and folks don’t like to hear it, to put it bluntly. Scott knows what he’s talking about, and has been cautioning a mess for a while now.