TauntonBlizzard2013

Here’s the problem in my eyes, and this is completely serious. The aggregate is not good. When you take every piece of guidance, ensemble, etc? They average out to a miss. You also can’t really afford a compromise. A compromise of the euro and gfs solutions is a miss. You’re essentially hedging that every model is entirely wrong with the major players for the system. Because even models and ensembles with a hit are mostly confined to Se New England. Given all the information, I’d put the odds of a region wide hit at like 5% and a plowable SE graze at like 15%

Dr nos at 6z

Will be a fitting end to this winter to whiff on all 3 potential snow events this week down here. One memorable event

This has looked like shit for days south of the pike.

Lmao. This made me laugh

Could only go up on the euro. I don’t think that was a meaningful move

Yup, we’ve had a couple small events in the last month after the mega SWFE, but for the most part, we’ve squandered opportunities big time. And even before that event, same thing

The OP euro is one thing, but the eps not even having slight interest should concern everyone

6” is crazy here though. No shot at that

Isn’t this an event where snow maps are going to be especially terrible? Meaning, counting a lot of mixed junk as snow

Completely predictable. We knew

This actually looks like it could be a decent Rainer here

Coming from the “it’s over” guy. Classic

And I bet it sucks. Same with regular euro, since we’re doing predictions

This doesn’t look that good here. Wagons north

Looks like the snowy week is going to be 0 for 3 here. Sunday miss. Friday north, and today meh. Ready for spring barring a march bomb

We knew. This is why the tenor folks can’t have it both ways. This followed almost the exact pattern we’ve seen every phantom coastal this winter.

I don’t disagree, we had a pretty special SWFE. However, in context of this event, I think the odds are fading fast with each model run.

At least the tease came at like day 5-6 and not 2-3. Won’t have to waste the rest of the week tracking ghosts

The tenor that everyone has loved to talk about this year in a positive way also conveniently leaves out that part of that “tenor” is this area being completely absent of any coastal storms. Where this is headed is disappointing, but entirely predictable

Icon is a complete whiff, in a nod to the euro.

lol what. Again, I’m calling it like I see it. You can choose to ignore the euro suite, I’m not. It’s a factor, sorry

Is the great support in the room with us? It’s a coin flip, at best. Some major players showing not much, and 18z moved decidedly in that direction

There is some truth to this. While it’s been mediocre many times this year, it has absolutely sniffed out some stinkers before other models. I know people don’t want to hear this, but it’s still going to be weighted heavily in any forecast.