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TauntonBlizzard2013

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Everything posted by TauntonBlizzard2013

  1. TauntonBlizzard2013
    NAM going to bring some heavy snow into SE areas this run
  2. TauntonBlizzard2013
    I’d be more worried about a rug pull east. I think you may be overstating temp issues a bit. If you’re to believe some of these runs, you’re probably looking at 6-8” of paste on some solutions
  3. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Canadian weaker and SE. Please spare me the 1” of slop. I’d rather nothing
  4. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Ai gfs continues its cave. Another tick weaker and SE
  5. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Cape graze. Very frustrating
  6. TauntonBlizzard2013
    East and weak. Went from borderline warning for a lot of SNE to low end advisory
  7. TauntonBlizzard2013
    RGEM with a pretty sizable tick east lol
  8. TauntonBlizzard2013
    I expect a rug pull at 00z to be honest. Feels like 18z is laying the ground work
  9. TauntonBlizzard2013
    It was fairly obvious the AI models were going to cave
  10. TauntonBlizzard2013
    AI cave started. Should be big by 00z. Hope this turd misses completely. Spare me the 1.5”
  11. TauntonBlizzard2013
    NAM still whiffs, but it’s a closer whiff lol
  12. TauntonBlizzard2013
    NAM is definitely west through 48. **** I don’t know how much of an effect that will have on the solution up here
  13. TauntonBlizzard2013
    I’ve found the AI models to be way too wet this winter. Consistently overdoing QPF
  14. TauntonBlizzard2013
    I bought a new snowblower in Dec 2020. I’ve used it 3 times I think.
  15. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Chefs kiss
  16. TauntonBlizzard2013
    No Ukie posts, I’m sure it blows
  17. TauntonBlizzard2013
    I’ve come to love summer. Really enjoyed this past year. Can’t wait to be back to warm weather, longer days. Really does wonders for mental health
  18. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Right. This is why I said yesterday, people need to let the runs play out at least a little bit before spitting out “ it’s west” you can’t tell shit 8 hours into the model run. There is really nothing worse than people jumping to conclusions and the end result being garbage, again.
  19. TauntonBlizzard2013
    I pray this just goes out to sea. I want no part of another 1.5” annoyance
  20. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Saw the first few posts were “better” and I said “ I bet the exact opposite is reality, and look at what it was.
  21. TauntonBlizzard2013
    I don’t know, I thought Reggie looked okay. Definitely not like the NAM. ICON is a whiff but I thought it improved a bit
  22. TauntonBlizzard2013
    A decade ago, this would be an easy trend in to 8-12” region wide. My guess is this ends up out to sea. We’ve seen this exact pattern play out already like 3 times this year. Threat looks awful at day 4. Subtle trends back the next few cycles, and then the rug pull and it spends the final 48 hours ticking east
  23. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Bad start to 12z
  24. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Might actually be worse than 6z
  25. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Agreed. Not sure if it’s rain, but it might be slop for a bit. The overnight runs definitely came west, but in the process, we’ve steadily lost dynamics. So while it’s closer, there is definitely still a legitimate ceiling. Assuming this doesn’t escape east over the next two days, and we do get a system, I’d be surprised if anyone got 6” of snow, just kind of has that look of a middle of the road advisory event
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