TauntonBlizzard2013

Yup. I’ve maintained that I expect a cape crusher. Not saying it won’t snow elsewhere, but these wild amounts aren’t happening here

Yeah, I’m full expecting some east slides in the final 48. I’m not convinced this isn’t just a cape crusher

Kids getting after it on school vacation week!

Yeah prob back towards Albany

Ukie whiff is not great. Someone posted earlier it’s a top scoring model along with eeuro

I’d imagine the precip shield would be pretty expansive. The low position definitely ticked west. Thats an absolute mauling SE of ORH. We’ll see what the euro says

Which is why even being west don’t guarantee much. The NAM run is west but still gearing up to be punted set. Need it to come north

It’s definitely better, but getting into a range where you need good moves, not baby steps

Aifs looks good, but will legacy euro follow?

I remember always hearing how these features never actually happened. Yet, they’ve been a constant this year

That’s what I thought. Enjoy the coating to rain or drizzle.

How much snow did you get last night?

We’ve known. I had no expectations for last night or Friday, and it’s panning out exactly as I thought. Never bought any of these recent euro runs

Let him go, just like last night.

This is following, quite literally, the same progression we’ve seen from all these systems this year. some mid range waffling, but ultimately, there was never real support. Just enough to waste everyone’s time for 3-4 days, before it finally slowly vanishes under 100 hours

I’ll be surprised if anyone south of the pike sees more than an inch. Maybe someone lucky gets 2” of slop. Hope people enjoy it, because the mechanism that’s “helping” this system, is part of the reason we’re going to whiff the coastal

It has no support. It’s wrong. We all know it’s wrong.

DC will reach close to my seasonal total from this storm, and I’ll be watching cirrus float by. This winter has positively sucked outside of 1 great event. Cold and constant misses, the worst

Scooter and the cape getting more snow than anywhere in CT would be pretty funny, even if it’s only a couple inches

Nope

Didn’t take long to dig out this morning

Not to be that guy, but this has honestly alway been a sloppy mess here. Marginal temps, mixing issues, possibly limited QPF. Take the under. Ray north for the best stuff

Snow is taking a beating here. My front yard is sun torched and wide open and it’s down to a few inches in spots. Neighbors shaded yard across the street still well over a foot. That time of year

Here’s the problem in my eyes, and this is completely serious. The aggregate is not good. When you take every piece of guidance, ensemble, etc? They average out to a miss. You also can’t really afford a compromise. A compromise of the euro and gfs solutions is a miss. You’re essentially hedging that every model is entirely wrong with the major players for the system. Because even models and ensembles with a hit are mostly confined to Se New England. Given all the information, I’d put the odds of a region wide hit at like 5% and a plowable SE graze at like 15%

Dr nos at 6z