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TauntonBlizzard2013

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Everything posted by TauntonBlizzard2013

  1. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Who knows how it’ll play out. But 12z has been pretty consistent in this area. Generally 1.25.-1.50
  2. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Subtle trends to tick down qpf in most places, with the exception of eastern ma.
  3. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Gfs is incredible here. 1.5” qpf all snow
  4. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Weird Canadian run, seems like the true heavy stuff stays offshore. all relative of course, still prints out over an inch of qpf in eastern areas
  5. TauntonBlizzard2013
    NAM is complete insanity here. Would easily be 18+
  6. TauntonBlizzard2013
    So what’s everyone’s guess? Snowday monday, do some places cancel Tuesday too?
  7. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Decent overnight runs here
  8. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Tick tick on the icon 1.5”+ in eastern ma
  9. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Like 5 posts the last two hours. Storm fatigue setting in lol
  10. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Euro making an attempt at those upper under totals, especially east.
  11. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Icon looks great here. Printing out 1.25-1.50 liquid equivalent in eastern ma. even with marginally better than 10:1 ratios, that’s an 18” snowfall.
  12. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Kind of a wild call at this lead. Very hard to walk that back if something changes lol
  13. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Gfs sees a tad slower through 66. Wonder if that helps the final outcome
  14. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Wow. Icon slays. Gets eastern areas with the coastal. That’s how you get 12-18
  15. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Not sure what to make of the NAM
  16. TauntonBlizzard2013
    No school Monday and possibly Tuesday?
  17. TauntonBlizzard2013
    You can still see a handful of members that would get a secondary going. It’s on life support, but not gone entirely
  18. TauntonBlizzard2013
    We knew. However, the actually overrunning portion is beefing up. Still could easily produce a foot
  19. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Euro and euro AI both look great here. 10-15”
  20. TauntonBlizzard2013
    There are also some Mets with hesitation on bigger totals, are we ignoring that? It’s okay to disagree. I want to see a more defined secondary development before I buy big totals. Others are free to think differently, and then we reconvene after the event to see what happened.
  21. TauntonBlizzard2013
    I think that’s the upper bound solution. Prolific overrunning followed by a defined, developing costal with CCB action in eastern areas. That is how someone scores 20. Hope it’s right, but that’s looking less likely after 12z IMO
  22. TauntonBlizzard2013
    I think the trend at 12z, minus the Canadian, was decidedly less potential CCB influence from another developing low pressure. I think that’s the key. And if we don’t get that, you have a hard time reaching big totals. Correct me if I’m wrong, but don’t we normally see huge ratios in a more traditional coastal? I’m not sure in this type of setup you are going to get 15+:1 ratios. However, even an inch of water at 12-13:1 is close to a foot of snow.
  23. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Euro is closer to an icon solution than anything else.
  24. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Watch out, you might catch shit for this lol. But I agree. I’m selling any secondary involvement. I’d guess this ends up a pretty uniform 6-10” spot 12
  25. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Obviously if we get a CCB assist in the second half, all bets are off. I think mid sized was a bad choice of words, probably should have just said, not upper echelon
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