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TauntonBlizzard2013

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Everything posted by TauntonBlizzard2013

  1. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Actually develops the storm in time for a CCB assist in eastern ma. 1.5 qpf south of boston
  2. TauntonBlizzard2013
    I’d say most solutions have been closer to 10 if you toss the out of control Kuchera maps
  3. TauntonBlizzard2013
    I think some folks are overselling this thing a bit. Obviously, these are great solutions and everyone would take. It’s certainly not high end though? As modeled. A nice, mid sized snowstorm.
  4. TauntonBlizzard2013
    It pretty much is on the gfs and icon. That definitely puts a ceiling on this. Not that it won’t be good
  5. TauntonBlizzard2013
    18z Sunday start and still snowing at 06z Tuesday in eastern ma. When was the last time a snow event was flying out of here in 4-6 hours?
  6. TauntonBlizzard2013
    1.25” qpf across most of SNE. if ratios are a little better than 10:1, that’s a solid 10-15”
  7. TauntonBlizzard2013
    CMC is a little slower than the gfs, but end result will be better
  8. TauntonBlizzard2013
    36 hours or so? Sunday through late Monday for many
  9. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Solid long duration 8-12
  10. TauntonBlizzard2013
    The irony of your posting this is not lost on me.
  11. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Long duration on the gfs. Snowing well into Monday
  12. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Burying energy like the icon.
  13. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Kiss of death
  14. TauntonBlizzard2013
    I think many would, but there has been a lot of talk about high end potential. 8-14” is a great system. It’s not a KU, nor is it highly anomalous
  15. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Icon 10:1 is 5-10”. Not sure why I got bunned for floating the idea that this is what we could see. Maybe it’s more; I don’t know; but it’s definitely in play
  16. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Icon isn’t bad, still feel like it leaves a lot on the table.
  17. TauntonBlizzard2013
    I don’t disagree, but is that likely? 10-150 would be high end overrunning and then with no coastal assist? Im not downplaying it, but I’d be hesitant to forecast double digits at the moment. Still a lot to iron out
  18. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Decent trends overnight. we’re going to need some secondary development to truly make this substantial system, IMO. Without that, you’re looking at a ceiling of like 5-10” as opposed to 10-20”
  19. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Some of these solutions are almost hard to believe lol. The 18z euro is literally days and days. Probably at least Monday and Tuesday off for the kids if that verified
  20. TauntonBlizzard2013
    I’ve been in this camp for days
  21. TauntonBlizzard2013
    This is a high stakes event, for the period and for winter in general. There is upper end potential, which we have t really seen in years. However, I know the setup is different; but you just have to hope this isn’t a Feb 2016, where NYC is getting 30 inches and we are choking on 4-8” of arctic sand.
  22. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Theoretically, if you slowed this down even more, that secondary low would have time to amplify more, instead of basically skirting east. Probably asking a lot though
  23. TauntonBlizzard2013
    Too bad it’s a week away, what a look. Feels like we had something similar in, what Jan/Feb 2011?
  24. TauntonBlizzard2013
    There isn’t, but I see folks want to look past this weekend for a more favorable period; but there’s still a lot that has to go right. Fighting an uphill battle currently
  25. TauntonBlizzard2013
    There are no guarantees moving forward, that should be obvious. Even after this weekend
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