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TauntonBlizzard2013

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Everything posted by TauntonBlizzard2013

  1. I think many would, but there has been a lot of talk about high end potential. 8-14” is a great system. It’s not a KU, nor is it highly anomalous
  2. Icon 10:1 is 5-10”. Not sure why I got bunned for floating the idea that this is what we could see. Maybe it’s more; I don’t know; but it’s definitely in play
  3. Icon isn’t bad, still feel like it leaves a lot on the table.
  4. I don’t disagree, but is that likely? 10-150 would be high end overrunning and then with no coastal assist? Im not downplaying it, but I’d be hesitant to forecast double digits at the moment. Still a lot to iron out
  5. Decent trends overnight. we’re going to need some secondary development to truly make this substantial system, IMO. Without that, you’re looking at a ceiling of like 5-10” as opposed to 10-20”
  6. Some of these solutions are almost hard to believe lol. The 18z euro is literally days and days. Probably at least Monday and Tuesday off for the kids if that verified
  7. This is a high stakes event, for the period and for winter in general. There is upper end potential, which we have t really seen in years. However, I know the setup is different; but you just have to hope this isn’t a Feb 2016, where NYC is getting 30 inches and we are choking on 4-8” of arctic sand.
  8. Theoretically, if you slowed this down even more, that secondary low would have time to amplify more, instead of basically skirting east. Probably asking a lot though
  9. Too bad it’s a week away, what a look. Feels like we had something similar in, what Jan/Feb 2011?
  10. There isn’t, but I see folks want to look past this weekend for a more favorable period; but there’s still a lot that has to go right. Fighting an uphill battle currently
  11. There are no guarantees moving forward, that should be obvious. Even after this weekend
  12. Beware of the press. We’ve seen this before, and not all that long ago.
  13. People also need to be vigilant about who’s posting and where. I’m sure they’ll be some vague “looks good” comments coming from a certain poster in NY, when in reality, it’s probably very different in this area
  14. Nope. I just honestly feel like it’s going to get squashed. Not exactly a hot take, that’s what most guidance shows lol
  15. AI models were definitely a little to generous on amount and extent of qpf, but they absolutely smoked the regular OPs in the 2-5 day range. garbage mid range performance from the traditional models
  16. The cmc doesn’t look that great to me. I bet that’s a lot of sand on the northern edge. And it also could be under doing the strength of the cold press. I don’t know, I hate having to rely on certain features to move or come in less impressive.
  17. Tough to be 10-12 days out from any next potential in mind winter
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