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TauntonBlizzard2013

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Everything posted by TauntonBlizzard2013

  1. Not to be that guy, but this has honestly alway been a sloppy mess here. Marginal temps, mixing issues, possibly limited QPF. Take the under. Ray north for the best stuff
  2. Snow is taking a beating here. My front yard is sun torched and wide open and it’s down to a few inches in spots. Neighbors shaded yard across the street still well over a foot. That time of year
  3. Here’s the problem in my eyes, and this is completely serious. The aggregate is not good. When you take every piece of guidance, ensemble, etc? They average out to a miss. You also can’t really afford a compromise. A compromise of the euro and gfs solutions is a miss. You’re essentially hedging that every model is entirely wrong with the major players for the system. Because even models and ensembles with a hit are mostly confined to Se New England. Given all the information, I’d put the odds of a region wide hit at like 5% and a plowable SE graze at like 15%
  4. Will be a fitting end to this winter to whiff on all 3 potential snow events this week down here. One memorable event
  5. This has looked like shit for days south of the pike.
  6. Could only go up on the euro. I don’t think that was a meaningful move
  7. Yup, we’ve had a couple small events in the last month after the mega SWFE, but for the most part, we’ve squandered opportunities big time. And even before that event, same thing
  8. The OP euro is one thing, but the eps not even having slight interest should concern everyone
  9. Isn’t this an event where snow maps are going to be especially terrible? Meaning, counting a lot of mixed junk as snow
  10. This actually looks like it could be a decent Rainer here
  11. And I bet it sucks. Same with regular euro, since we’re doing predictions
  12. Looks like the snowy week is going to be 0 for 3 here. Sunday miss. Friday north, and today meh. Ready for spring barring a march bomb
  13. We knew. This is why the tenor folks can’t have it both ways. This followed almost the exact pattern we’ve seen every phantom coastal this winter.
  14. I don’t disagree, we had a pretty special SWFE. However, in context of this event, I think the odds are fading fast with each model run.
  15. At least the tease came at like day 5-6 and not 2-3. Won’t have to waste the rest of the week tracking ghosts
  16. The tenor that everyone has loved to talk about this year in a positive way also conveniently leaves out that part of that “tenor” is this area being completely absent of any coastal storms. Where this is headed is disappointing, but entirely predictable
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