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NycStormChaser

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Everything posted by NycStormChaser

  1. NycStormChaser
    Can't post radar loop from my phone but possibly a tornado touched down a few minutes ago in South Jersey.
  2. NycStormChaser
    EDIT: Just realized you said for Jersey, not the entire area. Not saying it is going to verify but the HRRR is hardly a trace. It has multiple rounds of heavy showers this evening and spits out almost 3 inches of rain just north of the City into CT.
  3. NycStormChaser
    WPC says this area is likely to see flash flooding this afternoon and into this evening. Latest HRRR has storms basically training over NYC and surrounding areas all evening.
  4. NycStormChaser
    We need to keep an eye on Monday and Tuesday for a flash flooding threat. WPC has Day 3 in a slight risk but may be upgraded to a moderate risk of flash flooding especially across PA. They are waiting for additional model agreement however they are thinking 2 to 3 inches per hour are possible.
  5. NycStormChaser
    I put together some of the best timelapse sequences I shot during my storm chasing trip a few weeks ago. I will have a second video coming this week that is more of a behind the scenes chase video.
  6. NycStormChaser
    That is true. Although hrrr has been very consistent with developing storms around NYC later tonight. There's a nice area of 1500 cape around Philly. You can see those storms are the best looking ones around. The instability *should* shift northeast tonight but we just need the moisture.
  7. NycStormChaser
    Looks like instability increases a bit over the next few hours. I think we see some decent storms around midnight. May not be severe but probably a few rumbles of thunder and maybe some lightning.
  8. NycStormChaser
    I dont think there is enough instability to warrant a marginal although based on today's model runs they might add it in tonight.
  9. NycStormChaser
    Here are a few of my time lapse sequences from yesterday.
  10. NycStormChaser
    Looks like more storms possible on Wednesday and Thursday. This has been shaping up to be quite the active spring.
  11. NycStormChaser
    I cant confirm from my viewpoint if that was scud or a funnel south of brooklyn on the left of my shot
  12. NycStormChaser
    I'm in Brooklyn facing the Verrazano and getting some epic lightning shots. My camera is picking up a lowering on that cell over sandy hook.
  13. NycStormChaser
    These storms should make it to NYC
  14. NycStormChaser
    Looks like round 2 comes through the area between 9PM and 11PM. Would not surprise me to see another severe warning in NYC.
  15. NycStormChaser
    Hail in Brooklyn
  16. NycStormChaser
    Yeah I think we are done for now. Possibly some storms fire around 10PM but I wouldn't count on it.
  17. NycStormChaser
    Blue skies again as that batch of storms passed through.
  18. NycStormChaser
    I drove thru that cell to get to the Southside for a timelapse. Can confirm small hail about 20 minutes ago.
  19. NycStormChaser
    Storms should pop off around 4 or 5 from west to east. Dew points could be better but the storms to our south in WV have no problem going severe with dews hovering 60. Mlcape is better down there but everything else looks to be the same for our area. It's not as widespread as the models were showing yesterday however I think a few storms in our area will go severe as well.
  20. NycStormChaser
    Based on the HRRR, most of our area can expect severe weather today likely in the form of damaging wind. I think hail will be an issue as well all the way to NYC again like last week.
  21. NycStormChaser
    In the past 24 hours, forecast models have increased the idea of severe weather in parts of our area tomorrow. It has gone from a completely linear solution to a multicellular one with the possibility of descrete supercells ahead of the main batch. The mid Hudson Valley through New York City is particularly catching my eye. Instability looks good as well. The main threat should be damaging winds with some hail but I don't think we can rule out an isolated tornado in some areas.
  22. NycStormChaser
    18z Nam continues to suggest the threat of severe thunderstorms on Sunday afternoon. Specifically southeast Pennsylvania into Southern NJ. Instability looks to be decent however we don't start clearing out until the early afternoon. Will be interested in seeing the next few model runs.
  23. NycStormChaser
    The next chance for some thunderstorm activity is Sunday. Models are all over the place when it comes to CAPE and cloud cover, but i think there is at least a chance for thunderstorms from Eastern Pennsylvania / New Jersey up through Albany. If we can get minimal cloud cover in the morning then some of the thunderstorms may be severe. I feel like the SPC will put the area in a marginal on their day 2 update tonight.
  24. NycStormChaser
    I think this was 34 years ago not 24.
  25. NycStormChaser
    I was discussing the same thing earlier today. Usually mid June thru July is our active time however given the past week or two we might be in for an active summer.
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