Torchageddon

2nd day of perfect wx here, its been abnormally windy too. Blue skies the whole weekend! Its the stuff I wish I could lock in 365 days a year, with the longest daylight.

My TWN point for tomorrow still has 95F/36C as the hottest day, however what stood out on this cycle was for this week there are 5 days of chance of strong storms - maybe among the highest number generated here but def a dream pattern. The other is my low doesn't drop below 19C for the next 7 days with 5 being above 20C!

This may be one of the most incredible heatwaves modeled for my locale for intensity and duration! The 00z Euro run was a saver, jaw-dropping mega death ridge with a 600dm over NYC. There may be only one other run I've seen that had 594+ over me for similar length of time which was a crack GFS run in Aug 2016 I think. My 7 Day: Never seen 93F/34C forecast 4 days in a row before.

Well that big severe event for me tonight ended up giving me less than .25mm of rain, during the supposed height of the storm the skies brightened up and what wetness from the drops is evaporating!! The way the squall line evolved is a bit of a novelty as I was right at the bottom of the unzipping but it stopped and now I'm getting nothing! lol I was put under a svr warning and minutes later the sun comes out - love this storm season.

I just found out about the extreme heat wave for my locale this aft, I'll file my 7 day under "I'll believe it when I experience it" : Tantalizing!!

One of the best things I've seen modeled in 2024, epic heat on the way for the NE!

TWN really hitting hard with the severe for my region, I did get sun at noon and then starting at 3pm so I may have the juice to fuel something real this time. This will be attempt 2. Decent storms over Tobermory and north of Barrie so far.

Not good, when I saw TWN summer forecast showing a hot, above normal summer I grimaced as they have been wrong nine out of ten times with the summer seasonal one! Locally its been opposite if near normal wasn't shown. Atrocious conditions for days in SON, this shit is exactly what I fear especially in June. Overcast for days except some dawns and dusks the sun peeks out for a few moments - 13C for a high with windchills and rain showers. Thurs though was unexpectedly a good day. Feels like fall, heat has been on since early Sun. Feel the dryness despite the showers. The barfball of June 2015 made its way here!

Did have a few sunny breaks during the afternoon, among the best wx days of 2024 here! Great humid breeze. At first the hourlies showed a chance of storms from 1-5 pm, then the def squall line later but kept scaling back til nothing except the line at 7pm. Then I was in the split of the line. Instead of 25-35 mm I got 2.5! Heard no thunder, some pre-front showers and the rain would turn on and off like the storm couldn't make up its mind...knew the line was fragmented just on that observation alone. That's heatwave 1 wasted, I swear every year these squall lines get lamer. At 10pm I could even see the edge of the cloud canopy despite rain being forecast

Warmest morning so far of the year 19C low which accounts for .7% of all my low overnight temps. Dark with some dense filtered sun at times earlier. There has been way too much cloudiness during this humid stretch. Three turtles on the trail this morning!

Don't know why all the discussion of this violent supercell is here not in the Tenn Valley sub, has an eye on radar!

I randomly check the tornado warnings page this morning (expecting nothing ongoing) to find 3 active warnings with Mayfield KY under one: Really?

Amazing morning and day, it was already 21C at 7am with a humidex. Great cloud watching and very breezy to windy. Its so dynamic that it was near overcast at 10:30am with drops of rain but quickly moved on before noon. High of 29C. All the storms blowing up just to my east as usual which if fine by me - don't want this perfect day spoiled. This stretch has been wonderful, making up for the crummy first half of May.

Had some brief but freaky lightning, 2-3 hours ahead of my hourlies forecast. I'm sitting at 11C dew at 6C. Quick flashes and has that scary feel as its seems to be with lower temps in these parts. Oddly my weather station didn't detect a single one despite the 16 of them. Lots of small cells forming over lake Huron, most weakened rapidly.

Last week the weather was just plain bad, dark overcast and cool temps seemingly every damn morning and most days, all day. On Fri it was patchy overcast and I could see just 1 or 2 km away blue skies all afternoon til 5:20! Sickening. I didn't see any NLs here on Friday night after midnight. I was clouded all day Sat. It was suppose to be brighter today and it is but mostly cloudy with sunny breaks.

Beat me to posting (2nd time tonight), huge part of central OK in 20+ VTP at 03z is beyond absurd...

Violent Tornado Parameter now popping a narrow band of 10 in KS, I don't have a frame of reference but based on the colour light purple used I assume that's extreme! 6+ in that large area almost connecting to KS is wild.

That's it, I thought parameter originally. Didn't look into it closely til now, it doesn't have forecast values with RAP.

The last time OK had a high risk was of course May 20, 2019. I remember this product I think it was from SPC called "Violent Tornado Index" (VTI) or another derivative - I can't find anything like that now. SPC experimental products page has nothing currently. Its not this: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/outbreaks/

Amazing day unfolding here, 24C humidex of 28 for a high. Chance of a t-storm. I didn't see any fog as forecast early this morning - just blue skies instead of mostly cloudy!

Yep. This pattern of quality, photogenic twisters in the central plains is a dream for chasers! It feels like an eternity since a stretch like this - in fact I think this may be the best one since 2008? I don't remember it well now. Other active periods didn't have this consistency, I would prefer this over 2019.

Photogenic mode over. I see the eye even on TWN radar which is a subpar source.

Feeling like this is a daily occurrence, after years of rain-wrapped wedges in Dixie now the photogenic tubes are a plenty!

A perfect Spring day here, couldn't get any nicer!! No wind to chill when out there, no full leaf out. I hope I'm wrong but it seems like this combo for spring only happens once per season. 20C roughly but for some strange reason TWN keeps showing a crazy low reading like 12C now 15C This is exactly what I was hoping for - we don't need another crazy forest fire season with a summer filled with smoke: https://www.theweathernetwork.com/en/news/weather/forecasts/forthcoming-soggy-weekend-on-the-prairies-will-be-helpful-for-summer

How is the location name of a famous tornado settled in the wx community? Some of these recent iconic tornadoes like Katie/Wynnewood OK and Dalton/Ashby MN have equal occurrences of both places as a name.