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Everything posted by Will - Rutgers
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August 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Will - Rutgers replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Ran/walked a 5K at Rutgers around lunchtime at the Busch track. I am trying to get myself used to exerting in that heat but man it gets stifling. Now 93/71/100. In my apartment with the windows open and the air off and just letting myself sweat to death. -
August 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Will - Rutgers replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
OK, fair point. It's bankable that large-scale environmental engineering projects will need to be undertaken by countries and consortiums of countries over the next several decades. It goes well beyond global warming, too. -
August 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Will - Rutgers replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
Too bad it's humid subtropical and not Mediterranean. Wonder what kind of crops we'll be able to grow here in 20 years. -
Most people haven't the faintest idea about things outside of their very narrow field of vision nor are they capable of empathy or imagination, plus, they're just pissed off that the power's out. Probably everyone here has had a boss at one time or another who wanted a week's worth of work done by lunchtime.
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We'll see how many of these Cape Verde storms become a problem for us. I think it's non-zero.
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If I laid odds I'd give another NE tropical system direct hit 50%.
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August 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Will - Rutgers replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
That's my jam. But I have enjoyed this summer as well. The amateur enthusiast can find a port in any storm (or lack thereof). -
August 2020 General Discussions & Observations Thread
Will - Rutgers replied to Rtd208's topic in New York City Metro
This'll end up a top year for summer storms, including two direct hit tropical systems. Wild. -
FSU's phase space diagram of the GFS indicates Isaias was still hanging onto its tropical characteristics as a very marginally warm core storm at 1:00 PM. Impressive at such a latitude.
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Sting jet is here I guess. Just lost power for the first time.
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That slug of moisture which I assume is the former eyewall is going to be a real problem for flash flooding in WCNJ.
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Radar's finally filling in towards us at least. The axis of heavy rains looks a good 50 miles west of where it was predicted a few days ago.
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Probably not a great day for friends, family, and neighbors around here tomorrow. Bad trends.
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Better than they were this morning, at any rate.
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We REALLY lucked out this thing was hit so hard by shear and dry air.
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He's not a troll though and I'm not a weenie, I'm trying to learn and contribute... was thinking it looked a fair bit stronger and more organized. I'll call a spade a spade, I said it was looking dishevled yesterday. I hate being wrong here, there's so many good meteorologists and it's so easy for an amateur like myself to make themselves look stupid. So if I said something stupid I want to learn from it. That's all.
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I'm just seriously tripped out by the idea I'm too stupid to find a naked swirl on GOES EAST. I mean people joke about being triggered but I just spent 10 minutes looking at screens trying to find what he's talking about, and because I can't find it I feel even dumber.
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Can you take a picture of something to show me? I swear I am looking at GOES EAST shots thinking this thing looks decent and your post is throwing me for a loop.
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The outflow looks nice and sharp especially to the northeast. It's a small storm with a nice compact CDO, there's some very robust convection happening. It looks pretty organized right now. I think this is a decent Category 1 tomorrow morning and might surprise us in its strengthening, a low-end Cat 2 is not out of the question if the shear can stay easy on it. These small storms can be so unpredictable. I wonder about the rainfall totals up here this week. Even with baroclinic effects broadening the storm, this thing really is small. I don't expect big rainfall totals too far from the center, that's for sure. Quietly, this is becoming a massive tropical season. August, September, could be a real adventure for the United States.
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i'd like to congratulate everyone experiencing their 20th heat advisory or excessive heat warning of the summer, you can trade in your punchcard for a free large soup at any participating Panera Bread.