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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. Awaiting GGEM hourly panels to see if the dad follows that move
  2. Sfc low was about 100 miles west of 6z, pretty sizeable move.
  3. I've been blunt and honest through tracking this whole storm... if the GFS makes another move like it just did from 6z to 12z on the next run, we'll be having a celebration in here. Trough orientation was much better and sharper at h84 as a result of cleaner phasing allowing better tilt.
  4. Agree but in order for good trends there to have play for us, we’d need that interaction with the southern vort to be cleaner than some of the runs that take it wide right.
  5. I’ll defer to Randy, I like h72… Rome wasn’t built in a day so no guarantees we get a nice outcome verbatim, but these were good trends for sure
  6. In the end, yes. But early on I’m going to bet against a closed off energy in the four corners resulting in a coastal hit for our area…which is correct
  7. This one will be a great example of showing how much implication these minor changes early on have downstream
  8. I don’t hate it thru 60, shouldn’t be worse not that it matters relative to 6z
  9. Same, but it’s also probably wrong so we won’t speculate it too much
  10. If you believe in the snow gods, pray one time for a gfs shift that brings out a
  11. If the GFS evolution looks anything like the RGEM During the prime frames, prepare yourself for the jaws music
  12. We just did. Was about to tilt negative early on… can’t see how that doesn’t end up real close if it’s not a hit
  13. Looks like we get the N/S snows like the NAM is advertising, but the coastal is a step back
  14. The good news is Randy will probably get good sleep tonight
  15. Those areas always seem to do well when the metros get the big ones because of the wind shift behind the deepening low bringing that upslope hard-core
  16. Thats a way we win with pretty good snow from the northern energy
  17. @stormtracker the 6z NAM was worse by quite a bit honestly, so it could be worse.
  18. It is going to be glorious watching the Euro go down in flames yet again...
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