Liking where the TPV is and the angle of its influence, helps those NE heights over us. Could make for a nice trough axis if this phases cleanly/closes off
Thats my hunch thus far, the heights being pumped a bit out front is one of the biggest things I was "concerned" about overall and want to see improve next that could change the game for us. The TPV has a big affect on that aspect
Heights out in front are important for trough axis later on. A good thing to check is the TPV up in Canada to see if thats lowering them at all. Looks good on this run so far
If anything, slightly better than 18z thus far. N/S wave diving in a bit faster and the "tail" piece that on some runs is held back sw is dropping in slightly east.
We'd like it more west, but give me those lows there with an h5 closing off over Asheville/Greensboro and I'm taking my chances for a decent event in a lot of spots.
I agree there. The second northern piece seems to provide respite for the Euro vs a different way the GFS has been getting to its final product (which has less of the second piece)
The reason it does the pull depends on the type of tail feature like he mentioned. We also as you've mentioned want the northern piece diving in to have as meridional (N/S) alignment as possible.