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DDweatherman

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Everything posted by DDweatherman

  1. Nothing really to cause a tight cutoff on that one on the NW side. Would tend to agree here. I like 3-5” for most. SE folks get there from better rates and we do via better thermals.
  2. Such nice disagreement not even 18 hrs before onset. Fun hobby we have.
  3. That started a nice run for us that went through March too.
  4. Headed to gym, someone post the euro when it’s out. 40 at home
  5. You can tell we’re in an okay pattern with snow expected tomorrow. Otherwise folks would be lighting this thread up with current models showing what they are. 12z gfs was nice, hope it gets more euro support
  6. I already like our odds for mid-week. We’re only 4.5 days out and the overrunning piece is a relatively “easier” way to score.
  7. Agreed. A lot of the meso models have had a secondary max out that way and thermals will be more favorable.
  8. Good map. Starting to think us in the N&W will do best as models have shown secondary banding here to go w/better thermals. Can compensate and accumulate even if rates aren’t crazy.
  9. This reminds me of that event we were supposed to get blitzed with rates early in the AM, couple years ago. Rates and intense banding didn’t really pan, and we got like 1.3” in Baltimore.
  10. I stopped paying attention on day 3 as I was in town for work. We’re there lots of places that picked up those totals? (outside the Catoctins folks)
  11. Do we have a new run of the HREF out recently?
  12. It also hasn’t been that bullish overall just yet. We’re waiting for that run tomorrow that does something silly.
  13. The thing is even if this lasts 6-9 hrs, there could be 4-6” in a 2-3 hr span.
  14. Meanwhile the ICON last run at 18z was a great hit and stretched this out to a 12 hr storm.
  15. You got 5” on Tuesday in Germantown? That’s sick. We tacked on about 1-1.5” here.
  16. Yeah that’s something to look out for. What does the ceiling really become with that evolution in an otherwise fast flow? It would certainly bomb the low a bit quicker and slow it down further in this case?
  17. Searching for my 3rd 6”+ event of the season near Westminster. Not bad with another event looming behind this one.
  18. @HighStakes @losetoa6 @psuhoffman @mappy I love this panel for us. Rippin
  19. As this gets closer, if that h85 closes off and the low tucks off OC with this slowing down a bit as we’ve seen, some places could get some big totals near the mix line/in biggest bands.
  20. But not to worry, the 18z ICON is a crusher for most CAPE and W out to OKV.
  21. RGEM decides on a nice SE run after coming nicely in line at 12z and the CMC smacked us. Typical. Not a lot of consistency this week from it.
  22. Ninja myself on the 3k run to say it was sweet for us. Try 1-2"/hr for a few hours Sunday morning. Must see TV.
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