SouthCoastMA

10 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I’m just trying to get ideas and see what people are doing for the holidays. It really sucks. If there is one word that sums up the year for me, it’s frustration. 

Unfortunately, just having Thanksgiving at my house with my wife and kid. But plan on dropping by with quick visits to see our parents, possibly for dessert..but not for long. 

It sucks, and hopefully this is the last year we have to do anything like this again. 

Stein got wrecked here..its been a while

Feb 16 and March 5th 2015, respectively 

Feb 11th 2015 - Canton, outside my work

Kevin had hair, wowzers. 

6 hours ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

How much there?

Radar estimates were .25 or less

42 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Stein took a couple body blows today but he's still standing strong.

Stein holding strong here - weak sauce overall, aside from the wind which outperformed the rain by a mile. 

3 minutes ago, Ginx snewx said:

The Penn state stuff was debunked

Yes, that number was garbage and retracted. 

2 hours ago, OceanStWx said:

Yeah, I'm firmly in the camp of I just don't want to get it. So I wear a mask and we haven't been hanging out with anyone except for our parents. My job is already taking a toll on my long term health, so I would rather not mess with additional long term impacts. Most of what I've seen on these numbers is smaller populations, like the Penn State student-athlete testing showing roughly a third of the COVID cases still had heart inflammation months later. 

Well if we do some back of the envelope math on this for just 70+: that's roughly 28 million people in the US, at 5% mortality and 60% infection rate for herd immunity/just opening back up that's nearly 1 million people dead. Again, I'd rather not. Show me a plan beyond "we're over it" (i.e. mask mandate and rapid test everyone). 

Assuming that a large majority of the population doesn't already have built-in / tcell immunity via cross-protection from other coronaviruses  (potentially between 25-50%) + % of Population already infected - then yes those numbers would be concerning. I just highly doubt it given the trends around the world. 

I'm specifically referring to the fatality rate though - cross-reactive T cell memory can reduce disease severity, such that fewer people would become severely ill or die from COVID-19. So, hoping for that + vaccine will really cut down numbers over the next year so that we can get back closer to normal. 

5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

I know people who are feeling the effects too. It's not just fake news. I'm not one to live in a bunker, but it's a novel virus and we are still finding out specifics about it. 

Myocarditis is definitely a concern..and also something that can be caused from other viruses like the flu. It would be nice if all information was presented. What we don't know yet is if COVID causes a higher rate of myocarditis..it could. 

15 hours ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Pretty depressing article.

Sounds like if a certain set of scenarios play out we could be in big trouble... vaccine or not.

Cheer up

COVID-19 SURVIVAL RATES (per CDC):
Ages 0-19:     99.997%
Ages 20-49:  99.98%
Ages 50-69:  99.5%
Ages 70+:       94.6%

Tug without the finish that leaves the weenies blue

Moving to Sandwich, not West Barnstable - not a bad Cape spot for snow. 

Holding out hope but we've seen this many times before - Euro/EPS on an island for 2 or 3 cycles, other models slowly capitulate to Euro, while the Euro slowly trends less favorable so the end result is meh. 

If 00z and 12z repeat or continue to get more exotic then I guess maybe its onto something. 

4 minutes ago, Cyclone-68 said:

I guess there’s a reason(s)why (best to my knowledge) that we’ve never had a hurricane strike in this particular way at this latitude. 

Those retrograding noreasters are rare enough in Winter, where we can have ample blocking. Threading the needle amplified in September. 

20 minutes ago, ineedsnow said:

We 38

38 ain't coming through that door anytime soon. I could see a Bob redux happening in the next few years though, and maybe even a Eduardo/Noel this fall

I'm moving to West Barnstable so I'm already losing about 10" off my seasonal total. My weather might be more interesting though. Southern Bristol county is pretty meh barring a landfalling hurricane. 

9 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

This has zero chance getting far up the east coast. 

The pattern doesn't look great for anything coming up the coast in the next couple weeks, to me at least. 

2 minutes ago, Hoth said:

Effing hated that storm, or lack thereof.

Cok tease..but cape still had gusts between 60-90mph.. definitely was over hyped leading up to it..so obviously underwhelming for SNE as a whole

47 minutes ago, WxWatcher007 said:

I mean it literally ran up the SE coast and inland east coast states and brought TS winds and severe to SNE. Y’all are too much.

Landfall at BDR, HVN, GON or UUU or it ain’t tropical here.   

Then that should satisfy climo for tropical systems hitting SNE for a while

Does Isais even count as a SNE hit, despite it's wind impact in CT/RI? It basically ran up the coast, but inland.  

20 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Isn’t that illegal?   

Yes, and they were fined $600 for each event, which is nothing compared to how much they earned from the two weddings

24 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

This is damage.  A small branch it is not.

Yeah..my neighbors had a large limb down in their backyard..probably comparable to what DIT posted but it was basically a nothingburger here and not worth posting an image. 

2 hour burst of 40-50mph gusts with some limbs down..but I feel like this happens several times a year so meh. I mean, I'll take it but nothing too impressive.

March 1st 2018 and the storm earlier this spring were gustier

Irene brought solid surge and wind to south coast..and we had a microburst. Pretty memorable for me