SouthCoastMA

34 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

6z gfs would be a nice fix for this seasons shortcomings. But it will be over Chicago at 12x

It was over Chicago at 12z

4 minutes ago, dryslot said:

For 18?

I don't stop at 2 so my best golf is played between holes 4 through 8. Then it all goes downhill from there. 

Yes, I'm a lightweight

5 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

How many beers you on?

2 beers is the sweet spot when playing a round of golf. No idea if there is one for meteorology. 

6 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

Tried to tell em but they refuse, stuck in the same mud the pig dug up for them. 

Yup..a couple days ago I posted about the  Day 14-15 GEFS/GEPS showing signs of a shakeup..but it got a few snowflakes riled up. Lets see if we can get a reasonable March pattern in place for the last few weeks of winter. 

7 minutes ago, STILL N OF PIKE said:

I honestly don’t kno how any snow lovers are alive and breathing in SE Areas

this is London/ Seattle weather 

 

19" here YTD, somehow. But I've learned to easily detach from investing too much time, espcially now that I'm married and have a toddler. 

This winter sucks, but winters like 06/07, 10/11, and 11/12 were worse for me because I was younger and more emotional. Being on the wrong side of a rain/snow line back then was rage inducing.  I listed 10/11 because...well look where I lived. 

And if by SE you meant like the mid atlantic, then yeah me neither. 

16 minutes ago, WinterWolf said:

Lol All the long term ensemble guidance has been saying that type of BS all winter...I don't really believe it anymore.  The key words in your statement is "at the end,"  they've looked good at the end all winter lol.

 

I'll be heading back up North the beginning of March for one more sledding trip, so I really don't give a crap about here anymore this year.  I'd love a big one to at least give a decent ending to a Horrid/Ratter winter, but if not it's fine too. 

Never said I believed it or anyone else needs to. But that's what they show. Jesus this place sucks

The death vortex loses it's grip at the end of the GEFS and GEPS..but We'll see how it looks by the end of month.  We can easily punt the rest of Feb down here

Id actually take 2012 over this year. Slightly more total snow this year but all of that came in Nov and early December. That season produced a storm with 11" in late January...so that's the winnah. Not everyone got that storm..so yeah I don't expect anyone to share that sentiment

3 minutes ago, ORH_wxman said:

If you define like 2 inches as a thump....then yes. Maybe it is in this winter.

We thud

5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

CMC looks like a good thump right down to the pike 

Tblizz in this thread, amidst mass hysteria

It could look entirely different in a few weeks. Sure it looks like crap now, but I choose to keep an eye out for something favorable. Sue me. 

And it's not torture.  I'll be fine without turning into an insufferable eeyore if nothing pans out. 

That's accurate for me. Upper teens to near 20"...but more notable was the tree damage

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Holy shit. Trees breaking. Wow. Near 60 gusts.

I thought it had peaked around 2pm..but the past 45 min or so was definitely more intense. 

These winds are INSANE. tons of trees down in this area. Part of my fence blew over..ugh

Yea that was the 'behemoth'. Got like 2" in Warheam but could've been a monster if about 50 miles west. 

The GFS had it generally correct from six days ago at hour 162. 

If there was one thing I would definitely put all my money on, especially this winter, it's the anafrontal snows on the GFS at 144h. Lock it in. 

At this point, just hoping for some transient blocking and a perfectly timed wave in late Feb or March..but woof, what a boring stretch. 

Glad I stopped tracking this on Saturday.  Day 6 threat has some legs, but hopefully it doesn't turn into Lt Dan like every other threat this year. 

GFS even colder than 12z for wave 2 initially. Though not sure if it ends up warmer for wave 3

1 minute ago, Snow88 said:

Cmc has a big cutter for wave 2

Wave 1 is colder, so not surprised. It's either or I suppose

Gotcha. Was just referring to wave 1..that one never looked good down here

Also has a redeveloping clipper around day 7.5

GFS, pull. AWT. Pretty easy one to foresee..immediate coast can punt this one

38 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Highly skeptical of anything down this way.  Looking forward to Spring

Nice Greenland block in April awaits

2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

Could be a surprise... some models have it on and off.

I guess it get unpinned if some folks aren’t in the game 

It's morphed into something we weren't really tracking, but either way it's minor. Don't care if its pinned that much