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SouthCoastMA

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Posts posted by SouthCoastMA

  1. 1 minute ago, MJO812 said:

    Surface temps are torched

    It's moot..in the unlikely case the heavier precip shield came further north..it would flip to snow. Who cares if it's light rain if we get a tenth of an inch of precip.

  2. 2 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

    I think all of that has finally drained from my blood lol. I can barely drink a single beer anymore. I'll drink one during a Bruins game and most times don't even finish it lol

    Maybe you should start bulking up so you don't snap in half like a wafer when the next breeze from an outflow boundary hits

    • Haha 4
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  3. 2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

    Where do you have the cmc out to 60? Only out to 12 on TT

    The gem precip type loop from the CMC site

    The ridging ticked a bit better ahead of the northern stream,  on that run

  4. CMC is a good hit here around 60 hours. 

    So at 12z thus far it's the Icon/CMC vs GFS/NAM

    Battle of the crap models..choose your dookie

    Everyone north of say Taunton, try not to get triggered by this post

    • Like 3
    • Haha 1
  5. 23 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

    Like my mindset has been the whole time, expect nothing, see what happens.

    Yeah I don't get it. No one is expecting anything..so not sure why some are getting angry. PTSD from the winter I guess

  6. 1 minute ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

    Pretty big jump at 6z

    I think the 12z runs will be a good barometer if the bump is real, or just noise. If they are tick back east then we know our answer. We are still 60-72 hours out

  7. 3 minutes ago, HIPPYVALLEY said:

    Welp, got our first ticks today so at least we have that to enjoy if we can’t have snow! 

    The sicko in me first thought you meant a favorable tick nw in the storm this weekend. Carry on

  8. 6 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

    Yea. You guys can still get clipped. Fade the noisy agendas. 

    Still a handful of notable ensemble members near the benchmark

    *quickly signs off and closes browser tab*

    • Haha 1
  9. 5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

    Tonight should seal our fate I think... at least we won’t waste time tracking deep into the week.

    This winter is for the birds 

    In the past there would still be 1 or 2 models showing eye candy at this range, even if ultimately wrong. Now they just all agree on basically OTS. I'm all set hanging my hat on a few ensemble members

  10. 8 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

    breaking down those individuals... I see 12/50 (~25%) that would be  Significant events... and about another half dozen or so that would be moderate... with another half dozen to 7 or 8 or so that are very close to one of those two categories.

    So basically about 50% chance of a decent event based on those members 

    I was doing the same thing. My gut says whiff but there are enough impactful members there for me to keep tracking non-emotionally, yet obsessively.

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  11. 5 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

    If this was d2 then the writing is on the wall. Just give it until Wed before you run yourself over in your own patrol car.

    Wait, that's Snow88? just realized this, lol

    • Like 1
    • Haha 1
  12. 25 minutes ago, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

    Oh yea and 0z gefs made a pretty big jump nw too.

    Wouldn't need a huge shift NW for large impact..vice versa in the other direction. All ensemble clusters look NW if the OP

    • Like 1
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