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Posts posted by SouthCoastMA
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Eyeballing around 5". Congrats Dendrite and co
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2 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:
“Congrats dendrite” how much more can we realistically expect here?
Personally I'm waiting on some OES now..my main accums look to be done..mix ra/sn
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Pretty confident in 4-6" here. Too close to the beaches as they say but 8" would be my absolute ceiling if the snow holds on a bit longer or the OES delivers a bit at the tail end
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Reggie being stubborn
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It's the equivalent of giving a noogie and stuffing him in the locker. But then as friends, letting him out after 4 hours so you can all go out and grab a beer together
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2 minutes ago, CCHurricane said:
Unfortunately I would take Euro 10:1 output with a grain of salt down here near the canal and on the Cape. While cold aloft, surface temps look to be running north of 35. Will be hard for meaningful accumulation to happen at those temps, probably closer to 5:1.
That's fair, and likely correct. I'd be happy with 4-6" at this point
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Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:
10-15” on the euro across se mass.... couldn’t ask for more
I was expecting a cut back..but it looks just as good, if not better.
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The euro is still solid here. Glad it's in my camp and not the NAM and CMC
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1 minute ago, Baroclinic Zone said:
I like that the ULL is oblong oriented E-W.
That's a saving grace for some.
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Just now, Damage In Tolland said:
It was many days ago, but we mentioned this would track far enough N to bring mixing issues from NYC LI to CC
Could be further north than that too if trends persist.
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The RGEM was actually better with the lingering OES in EMA..so as far as snowfall amounts it was about the same as 6z, maybe even slightly better on the Cape. It just gets the mix line further north during the meat of the storm, and it's definitely more tucked. Still hoping we've hit our peak amping, and can now start the cweat shimmy at 18z
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Inland folks to the SE peeps after the 12z NAM run
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Hideous, lets hope it's an overadjustment for SE folks - which it could be.
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2 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:
3km NAM trying to save SE MA this run.
That looks warmer through 42h to me, unless you are looking ahead further? Edit: Defintely seems more tucked as well
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Just now, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:
That’s a hideous run here.... hope it’s wrong
yea not good. that's like 1-3" for me before drizzle lol
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13 minutes ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said:
That map is not accurate for Cape Cod, Harwich got 15.5"
Look closer, James.
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I don't think the lower end of those ranges is that much of a stretch...north of I90. Seems like a safe call at the moment
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1 minute ago, USCAPEWEATHERAF said:
CT>RI>SE MA>CC and Islands - 12-18" isolated 18" + in intense banding
Best case scenario I see is someone near the canal approaching a foot..i.e. me. I'd hope for 4-8" down on the lower Cape but wouldn't expect much more at this point.
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1 minute ago, NorEastermass128 said:
FIRST CALL
8-14” for most of MA, CT, and RI. Spot 14”+.
4-8” S VT, S NH and outer Cape to the Canal.2-4” C VT, C NH and far southern coastal ME and outer Cape.
C-2” MV and ACK.Cirrus for NNE.
I agree with this.
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RGEM isn't too bad here but no wiggle room left, and pretty certain we dry slot for a while now on all guidance. The OES late Thursday Friday is nice too
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Meh, trending the wrong way here. Maybe 3" of slop will do it
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I will gladly sacrifice my snow for taint so that that Dryslot and MWebstah can get some..said no one ever
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Probabilities of 6-12" here still look good..though right on the line
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Great run for this area.
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Dec 16-17 obs/nowcast thread
in New England
Posted
It definitely compacted here. There's like 2.5" 3" depth now.