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SouthCoastMA

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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA

  1. The ICON evolution verbatim is what I fear with the mid month storm, if we are talking possibilities. West coast ridge collapses, and the trough in east doesn't dig much. And the storm develops late well east of Maine. Let's see what the big boy models show Edit: I guess I was looking at the 14th.. The storm on the 12th looked a bit more promising though still well east and late developing Hopefully we hit on one of em!
  2. We had some great years in past 25 years, but big picture is a general decline in snow cover over North America since the 50s. Locally, 2005 and 2015 were epic. I will take one of those years despite the long term trend.
  3. CC bay already close to mid 40s. That might help later
  4. What if the warmth being muted mid-month was just the pattern being delayed til Christmas, instead of denied
  5. Expect nothing before the 12/13th. Though we need to hit on that for board morale
  6. GFS has something on 12th, near benchmark. Weak, but workable 7 days out
  7. 18z RGEM actually gives you some snow with this. Nothing or a few sprinkles here.
  8. Southern Ontario to Southern Quebec doesn't seem like an ideal storm track for snow here.
  9. Yeah - selling anything before 12/13 at this point. CMC ENS had a couple big hits.
  10. Do you have a top floor? Maybe you couldve seen it from a distance
  11. The long term trend of "clippers" cutting through NNE and the inability for them to dig south of us getting old fast. And when somethiing does go south of us its usually compressed into the mid atlantic and shredded with no amplication.
  12. How and when were January and February ever not the top two? Outside of random years I guess
  13. I didn't like it verbatim, even at 12z. Leaving some room for this to dig further south, but not holding my breath for additional positive trends. Just watching
  14. On that point, the last 5 years have been so bad that we might actually do well relative to that span over the next 5, despite the overall decline over the long term. We shall see
  15. Yeah I agree the early part of this winter likely won't be representative of the trends documented.
  16. shield your eyes, it's hideous https://www.mdpi.com/2225-1154/13/12/246
  17. Wish we had a bit more downstream ridging but let's see if it can dig more and phase a bit earlier. It becomes a nuke south of Nova Scotia
  18. Oh how we pray that something akin to the 6z OP GFS pans out in the 12/15-12/21 timeframe.
  19. Nice pre-empt for melts just in time for the upcoming pattern to fail. Well done.
  20. Don't sleep on 12/8 yet? Long shot, but vort has trended a bit sharper/further south over New England on 6z GFS/Euro.. Remains progressive but maybe some can score an inch or two.
  21. I lived in Acushnet at the time and had 7" or 8". Just south of me along 195 got near a foot. Messenger in Manomet did well too iirc
  22. yeah that was such a blue baller. crazy that 3 weeks later was the SOTC, and my first memory of whiteout conditions.
  23. I remember that one. flurries/dusting here, and an angry weenie was born
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