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SouthCoastMA

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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA

  1. Preparing to locate the 1 or 2 ensembles members that are still hits, out of 51.
  2. The smell of yager bombs and puke walking out of the restroom at Sissy Ks, we'll take the 4 left abandoned by her hotter friends (maybe 6s)
  3. That could go back down to 0% by 630pm. And I'm also just talking about a scraper here.
  4. I remember that one well. I've never been more disappointed with 10-11". Pure arctic, windswept snow.
  5. You'd need that southern vort to keep pace. That was a slight hedge towards the 12z AIFS but you need to see that across the board with the other models. Its the 18z ICON after all.
  6. Timing is off though. Northern stream too fast so missing any sort of phase.
  7. If only it had more than zero support for that little vort dangle/dong, whatever we want to call it. Such a minor thing would result in a bigger impact.
  8. It's about the same here..but I think I'm running a local min due to bad luck with the past couple systems, specifically last weekend. Wouldn't be surprised if places like Ptown have higher depth. And I guarantee PYM northward does.
  9. And the EPS were a whiff, which is why it wasn't posted
  10. The bots are cooler than the OPs again, for the 2/19 system. Deja vu
  11. I just want a biggie here at this point. Like some said, an old fashioned coastal with CCB and wind. And then we can call it a day
  12. we get strung out boob low coastals that chase convection now. Grin and bear it folks
  13. AI tugging me back in a bit. Enough to at least check the 0z runs later
  14. compare 6z to 12z..big cave. maybe hang your hat on some of the CMC ensembles
  15. The Canadian ensembles might be the northern outliers now, while the EPS did a sharper cave back to consensus.
  16. Yes, I don't think there is any one model that is currently more superior to the others, enough to trust on an island. Maybe the AI ones get there at some point. I'm just glad the Euro pulled the rug cleanly at 12z, rather than stringing some along painfully like late January.
  17. I get the game. It a high reward/low risk gamble he's playing..but imagine it does comes back. To him, its worth the glory in the face of all the naysayers.
  18. What's your season ranking at the stake? I remember at one point in early winter it was #1
  19. The question is, when its 40.2° on April 28th - will I look back on the Winter and say "it was all worth it". I want at least one more decent storm, and get to 50".
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