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SouthCoastMA

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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA

  1. SouthCoastMA
    unless it's sniffing glue
  2. SouthCoastMA
    6z NAM still amped, but ICON shifted south.
  3. SouthCoastMA
    yikes..not a great trend here at 0z.
  4. SouthCoastMA
    nw corner of Cape. not very
  5. SouthCoastMA
    RGEM brings the hammer before any mixing here.
  6. SouthCoastMA
    messenger shuffle, but it's not always its works in mysterious ways
  7. SouthCoastMA
    believe it or not, actually cut back nearly half from 12z. Was showing 40"+ in the prior run. Nice to see an active pattern being modeled.
  8. SouthCoastMA
    The day 6 look on the GFS op seems prime to deliver late month
  9. SouthCoastMA
    slowing coming into consensus. let's keep it there and hopefully the warmer models stay put or move towards GFS as a compromise
  10. SouthCoastMA
    Agreed about the changeover issue being overplayed, but I'm just being greedy and looking to maximize this storm. Trying to avoid 20 miles north of me getting 19" while I'm stuck at 10-11"/slotted/snizzling. Damn, just realized I'm channeling Ray.
  11. SouthCoastMA
    lol - knew what to expect when you said that. definitely stronger low, would be nice for many - a little bit warmer here, but tough to trust the ICON thermals.
  12. SouthCoastMA
    Once in range, I'd imagine the mesos will start upticking the qpf associated to ocean enhancement and long fetch easterly flow. Wouldn't be shocked to see 1.5-2" on those models as we get closer. Can already kinda see it on the Euro maps
  13. SouthCoastMA
    NAM would be pretty great here and for SNE in general. someone in Eastern Plymouth/Norfolk county going to score big
  14. SouthCoastMA
    3 days out still. I need a break
  15. SouthCoastMA
    stay safe out there
  16. SouthCoastMA
    Euro is 12"+ here with 10:1. Likes the secondary for round 2
  17. SouthCoastMA
    Wish the GFS had a clue. Id rather not the low ride up over ACK, though many would love that.
  18. SouthCoastMA
    Yeah, its frigid to start. The floor for this storm is super high. The mix discussion is only relevant for those who want to maximize any snowfall from redevelopment. and mainly in SE sections.
  19. SouthCoastMA
    Kind of a mixed bag. Seemed colder with the initial thump, and a bit warmer along coast when the secondary got cranking. ^regarding 6z Euro AI.
  20. SouthCoastMA
    I never understood those 50-75 miles north of me worrying about it. As of now, its purely a concern right along the coast/cape. Still a good hit regardless.
  21. SouthCoastMA
    ~10" Cape/SC and 10-20" elsewhere would've worked as a broadbrush.
  22. SouthCoastMA
    At worst 95% of your precip will be snow. I have a bit more to worry about after the initial thump. Euro still looks decent despite changing over. All bets are off if the trend to keep the primary stronger and further north persists
  23. SouthCoastMA
    Southern areas will want the north trend with the primary to stop to maximize totals with any secondary development. Otherwise it's a flip to rain and dryslot after the good thump. GFS on the other hand is great, though little confidence it's correct
  24. SouthCoastMA
    I'd take 8-10" even if it mixes at the end. That's a win in the last 4 years
  25. SouthCoastMA
    Definitely trending away from secondary on ECM-AI
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