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SouthCoastMA

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Everything posted by SouthCoastMA

  1. Wish we had a bit more downstream ridging but let's see if it can dig more and phase a bit earlier. It becomes a nuke south of Nova Scotia
  2. Oh how we pray that something akin to the 6z OP GFS pans out in the 12/15-12/21 timeframe.
  3. Nice pre-empt for melts just in time for the upcoming pattern to fail. Well done.
  4. Don't sleep on 12/8 yet? Long shot, but vort has trended a bit sharper/further south over New England on 6z GFS/Euro.. Remains progressive but maybe some can score an inch or two.
  5. I lived in Acushnet at the time and had 7" or 8". Just south of me along 195 got near a foot. Messenger in Manomet did well too iirc
  6. yeah that was such a blue baller. crazy that 3 weeks later was the SOTC, and my first memory of whiteout conditions.
  7. I remember that one. flurries/dusting here, and an angry weenie was born
  8. ccb or maybe just ocean enhanced? the big ones always end up with those stat padding streamers..ala 2005 and 2015
  9. My favorite inv trough is prob March 2013 (or 14?)..but honestly can't remember any notable ones since down this way
  10. The CMC OP was brutally cold at Day 9, opposite of the GFS. Curious what the GEPS showed
  11. Clipper through Stowe then a warmup on the GFS OP. Let's trend that south a bit. CMC looks different but it's all a crapshoot
  12. Don't read Tip's post for your own sanity. Unfortunately, makes too much sense.
  13. I went back starting at the 12z run on 11/27..and the Euro actually was pretty close with the track. However, thermals and storm intensity, especially between 11/28-11/30 were way off. Not sure why it would do well with the track and suck at everything else. Going to be a fun winter.
  14. I was tempted to post about it, but you have it covered. I'll just pretend I didn't see that abomination and look again tomorrow.
  15. I would easily trade any snow before 12/21 if it meant we get some snow around the holidays. I usually punt most of December, especially after the last several years. Its all about the SST's here, unless you have a frigid antecedent airmass in place or a perfect thread the needle situation.
  16. The ensembles have a pretty strong signal on Day 9/10. Whether that pans out positively for SNE is the WinterWolf question of the day. We just don't know.
  17. Best chance seems to be a redeveloping clipper around 12/11..but far to go on that one. Then hopefully we are looking at a few more chances post 12/18 after the huge cutter/warmup mid month. Better then than on 12/24, but never a good idea to rule out a grincher.
  18. EPS have them too. The 10th in particular looks interesting
  19. Euro op has chances on 6th, 10th, 11th. Maybe we can cash in on one of those
  20. We've seen this scenario time and again the past several winters. The euro being the coldest solution/outlier 3-4 days out then slowly trends to other guidance, It could be anecdotal but just seems to have a cold bias up here in that mid range. In the past it wouldn't budge much while the other models trend much colder. Its just my perception, and may not reflect its overall ability, or even reality.
  21. Giving weenies to King weenie can be redundant. You need to earn your place in the weenie hall of fame first before you get a pass
  22. Yeah looked a bit better with those clippers post 12/8
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