Yeah that looked juicer..the trajectory looks set..we just need that shortwave to start out a bit more north than currently modeled. Though I suppose the trajectory could also shift if the blocking relaxes somewhat. What we don't want to see is a continued trend to suppress..but as it stands it's not too far off from something better in SNE
I think this will slowly inch north. possible the models are exaggerating the strength of blocking around Iceland and 50/50 low. You wouldnt need much compensation for this to hit New England
Verbatim, your first White Christmas in 16 years. you take, although about as borderline as you can get
We do however root for the other models over at run.
16? wow
I had a borderline one a couple years ago because of OES..it was a sloppy coating, but other areas of Cape/MVY had a lot more. I would take flakes in the air and wintry appeal but losing that it seems. Ah well.
That one isn't looking good for anything more than a coating here, before it's washed away. Better NOP..they could get a couple.
AIGFS has us near 60 on the 26th/27th.