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TugHillMatt

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Everything posted by TugHillMatt

  1. TugHillMatt
    Wow, 12Z runs are looking fantastic for Wayne County.
  2. TugHillMatt
    When I lived in West Michigan, I was only 2.5 hours from there. I LOVED the Museum of Science and Industry. Fantastic! Lincoln Park Zoo (much of it free to the public)...and of course, Chicago Deepdish pizza.... Giordano's or Lou Malnatis.
  3. TugHillMatt
    Have a nice time in Chicago! One of my favorite downtowns...
  4. TugHillMatt
    Sometimes I forget that the Ukie is actually a decent model. We don't refer to it as much as some of the others. Maybe because we don't have as much access to it?
  5. TugHillMatt
    Farther north with the Primary is the rule. Looks very similar to the crapfest of earlier November. Pass.
  6. TugHillMatt
    You would think by now these models would be better. Just when they all start to converge on an idea, the 00Z runs start coming in with a bunch of junk all over the place again.
  7. TugHillMatt
    12Z NAM appears to show a similar snowfall location as the Euro Ens...Looks like models are centering in on the Catskills as the best snowfall area.
  8. TugHillMatt
    Lol! I didn't think the location was bad. The pattern was. Dave is right...if you love snow, you don't want me moving to your hood! Haha
  9. TugHillMatt
    Boy, 18Z runs look even worse. What a boring start of winter in the Finger Lakes/Syracuse area. I should have moved to the UP!
  10. TugHillMatt
    Another Cutter? Theme of the decade......
  11. TugHillMatt
    Welcome! My wife and I really enjoy visiting Geneva. I LOVE the pathway along the lake and going into the State Park. It's not too far from where we live in the Baldwinsville area.
  12. TugHillMatt
    The best snowfall I have seen the past two days has been after the warning expired, and before the advisory popped up. Too bad the really nice snow showers we had much of the morning into early afternoon didn't occur at night. The solar radiation was a detriment to great accums.
  13. TugHillMatt
    La de da de da...been sitting between two snow bands all evening....I am guessing I should go with the 1 inch totals for tonight that BUF has right over the border in Oswego county...compared to the 4 to 5 that BGM has...
  14. TugHillMatt
    I am hoping that as the pressure starts to move east that there will be some surprises that materialize. I think many of the models were over-emphasizing the "front end"...and perhaps as things materialize with the main part of the system, we could see the current HRRR snowfall numbers go up. We shall see...
  15. TugHillMatt
    Awful winters tend to follow me around (Buffaloweather can attest to this). I went to Michigan and they had some horribly pathetic winters when I was there, then went to Redfield last winter...not one good blockbuster event...like I said earlier, sorry to the Cuse because I moved to the burbs here! I almost took a job in Rochester and almost moved there....hmmmmm….lol
  16. TugHillMatt
    And it just keeps going farther NW! How much farther north and west is this going to rotate? lol
  17. TugHillMatt
    What a great preparation for more let-downs to come this winter. At least those of us in Central NY aren't getting the shaft while a few miles north gets pounded. Although, it looks like Oswego city has been within the band much of this evening.
  18. TugHillMatt
    You in the Radisson? Just went outside and it was a graupel storm.
  19. TugHillMatt
    BGM still seems pretty positive for a decent snowfall overnight. From what I see, every run this afternoon has looked worse and worse for SYR. Not sure what they're looking at?
  20. TugHillMatt
    Well, looking at the Euro, short term models, NAMs, etc...it looks like the northerly track won out. My 4 to 6 inch call for Syracuse a couple days ago is looking good. The NAM 3k looks absolutely horrific for the Syracuse area. "rolling eyes"
  21. TugHillMatt
    That is definitely not uncommon for down there. I would HATE to be a winter lover there. Warm air easily pushes up on that side of the mountains into the Pittsburgh area. As a Pennsylvania native, the small mountains there create pretty incredible microclimates. My wife and I are renting a place in the Radisson, so not too far away from you. I just went for a nice walk over at Beaver Lake with a buddy. Approaching an inch here in Lysander as well.
  22. TugHillMatt
    So, are the HRRR and RAP going to be correct? If so, Syracuse folks you can thank me for the crappy winter coming...………………………………………………..
  23. TugHillMatt
    Got a dusting of snow here north of Baldwinsville. This part of Onondaga county looks good for a nice snowfall.
  24. TugHillMatt
    Looks like pretty much all of the models bumped north again.
  25. TugHillMatt
    Temperature in Fort Drum dropped 7 degrees once the rain started. Checked the Watertown webcam and rain is changing to snow right now. Wolfie, I have always thought that map is just DUMB. Let's skip 25 inches between each "zone" So it goes directly from 100 inches to 125?!? Poor map making
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