mimillman
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Everything posted by mimillman
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RGEM is solid
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Was wondering where you were
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It’s a messy process
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NAM in process of caving
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Lol no good deed goes unpunished
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It also gets 0c line a bit further north into Cook county and verbatim would be an hour or two of rain for the city and points south.
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Think the main thing to avoid is endangering lives
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I think it’s prudent. It can always be downgraded
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Once again the Euro manages to keep 0c 850mb south of the immediate metro, very different from last storm. Ratios will be very poor but this should be very heavy snow as progged. The NE burbs will do very well. I made a final call of 3-5” for the city. That may still be accurate but could be low for the NW neighborhoods. ORD and northwest of there should be 6-10”
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I’m going to sell the NAM and say Friday but I’m weary
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Yea the NAM is admittedly disastrous
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You love the SREF
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Perhaps with lighter returns yes. Under heavier bands and a deepening low, it should rip and stack quickly. The low is slightly further east and temps in the upper atmosphere are significantly more favorable than the last storm. Granted, the last storm we got nothing, so it’s a low bar.
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This should be significantly better than the last system as currently modeled for the immediate metro. 0c 850mb barely gets into southern cook county and has an E/W orientation at the storms peak while the last one had 0c 850 into DuPage and Lake counties. 925mb was also well above freezing in the last storm. I’m not ruling out a jog north which could put that in jeopardy, but as progged it is a different ballgame. Ratios will be very poor, probably 8:1 type.
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Last 2 are great shots
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SLP shifted a solid 100 miles NW
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Oh boy
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At hour 48 on the GFS. Heights are more amped ahead of the low, which is also deeper. SE ridge is more pronounced and trough is digging deeper. This is coming west this run
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Think the ICON is about to go nuts again
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NAM east, RGEM west. Fun
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Yea, 2021 was the savior. Also distinctly remember this event that was pure awesome, some of the best rates I remember seeing in my life: https://www.weather.gov/lot/2021jan19 Outside of 2021, pretty poor
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ah yes remember that one. How about before that?
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I don’t think we’ve had a double digit storm in the city proper since 2015
