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mimillman

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Everything posted by mimillman

  1. 00z GFS is about 6 hours too fast on the southern stream for a phase. About as close as you can get without a result.
  2. Drifts have got to be at least 3” in the bullseye. It’s gonna be a doozy.
  3. Multi year bad stretches happen, that’s not new
  4. Not terrible if you’re just looking for an active pattern.
  5. Clearly no development of a secondary this weekend means suppressed Jan 6-7.
  6. Great run for a large part of the sub forum on the Euro. PV over Alaska is deadly. PV over Greenland, much more workable at least.
  7. More zonal look on the 8-10 day now. Will take that any day over this horrendous pattern. At least there will be opportunities to work with.
  8. It’s so far out, shouldn’t be reading too much into it. What does matter is the much better looking pattern consistently shown in the 8-10 day range.
  9. Was so glad I wasn’t here in 2017. I had briefly moved back to New York and we did decently well. I do remember 2012-2013 and it was horrendous. I think there was a clipper train in Feb 2013 which was the only saving grace.
  10. Much better look on the Euro long range again. Placement of the Aleutian ridge looks solid. A bit further East would do wonders.
  11. 00z Euro looks much better after the storm next week and finally showing signs of the PV breaking down in the 8-10 day range. I’m optimistic about mid Jan
  12. Long range GFS after the system mid next week looks good. Just gotta get through the next week.
  13. Wondering if this torch is actually helping to warm up the lake and will come to bite us in January during any onshore flow events.
  14. The polar vortex is mega mega mega strong. Everywhere in the world is warmer than normal, except the arctic.
  15. One of the strongest PVs I’ve seen in a really long time...the Arctic probably seeing one of its coldest Decembers in quite some time. Must be global warming
  16. Pretty big improvements from the 12z GFS by end month.
  17. Thank you so much for posting this. Was just returning down memory lane, this was the event that got me into weather in the first place, back when I lived on the East Coast.
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