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Kevin Reilly

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Everything posted by Kevin Reilly

  1. They are getting ready to chase the storms out to sea next week?
  2. Low in Media last night was briefly 33f. Currently it is 36f surprisingly pretty chilly considering it was fairly warm today.
  3. It’s amazing to understand the incredible amount of variables that go into temperatures over time. There are many variables!!! Thanks for taking the time to compile the data this is close enough to me to just add a degree of two in my location.
  4. Heavier rates dragging cold air from aloft do temps are marginal in those cases but most likely a product of the model not seeing dynamics or smoothing things out.
  5. Classic holding energy back out west. As we know models are horrible at getting these right. Is it pieces coming east or the whole bundle of energy the effects here are quite different.
  6. Overriding warm air I’d suspect meeting up with the northern stream vort to the north and storm gliding by south.
  7. One of those years where the warm is coming it’s going to be 60s and 70’s then the warmth is shooed cut down by the west northwesterly flow beat down. This sets up a normal winter IHO.
  8. Skies beginning to clear bottomed out at 17f last night around 8:30 pm. Currently mostly cloudy with breaks developing in the clouds especially overhead and to the west and northwest. 23f humidity 52% dewpoint 11f Total snowfall overnight into this morning: trace / 0.01" Total snowfall for the year 9.4"
  9. Light snow officially a car topper here. 22f humidity 52% dew point 7f
  10. At 8:00 pm clear it was 17f 49% humidity dewpoint 2f currently cloudy 22f humidity 53% dew point 8f virga. see if we can squeeze out those car topper flakes?
  11. Yea December 22nd 2009 got 22.4” here in Media.
  12. We can always hope for a March 12th to 15th 1993 type storm that one was quite fun for everyone all the way to the Gulf Coast.
  13. I think 19.3" for your immediate area would be below normal. I think the average at PHL about 21.7" per year.
  14. Awesome so basically 33 seasons out of 35 produced above average snowfall relatively speaking! Let's Go!! Every 0.6", 0.8" of snow or 1.4" of sleet counts!
  15. Love it that’s .02” more than I got in 15 minutes this morning during the snow squall line! Let’s go!!
  16. Sunny a few passing clouds 25f humidity 52% dew point 10f Total snow from Snow Squall: 0.6” Total Snow for year: 9.4”
  17. Still a few left over flakes a rather nice area set to come into Delaware County from the west. snow total so far dusting 32f humidity 52% dew point 16f
  18. A few flakes starting here 32f humidity 52% dewpoint 16f
  19. Works for me I’m sitting in central Delaware County only 30 minutes NE of Elkton Md. Cliff jump here no because we already had an amazing 6.5” postcard snow back on December 14th. My expectations for the amazing pattern and over hyped pattern on the models for 3 days was kept low, so come what may. Maybe I can get a snow squall between 4 am to 8 am tomorrow morning.
  20. That is actually fairly impressive. I guess I will have to set my alarm clock.
  21. Wind continues west 25-35 mph occasionally gusting to 40 mph. Temperature: 34f humidity: 42% dewpoint: 13f Well the big Great Lakes storm now resides blocked just north and northeast of the Great Lakes. I believe this feature is basically as I said the other day realigning our pattern in the eastern portion of the United States This Great Lakes southern Canadian storm will unravel in time and when that happens my thinking is a west to west southwesterly flow should resume and over time boot out the coldest air opening the door for wet events from the west and southwest overall rather than snow events. I also think we see the SE ridge back for a time. I am not saying no more snow this year, but I am also not buying all the hype that’s on social media about giant snowstorms January 4th to 12th timeframe. (Maybe I’m doing reverse psychology, but I don’t think so. I’ve seen this before) Next to track in the immediate future light snow / flurries New Years Eve to New Year’s Day dusting to 0.5” totals a lucky soul sees 1 inch, with embedded disturbance off the Great Lakes pinwheeling around the big low in southern Canada north of the Great Lakes. See if that disturbance can try to turn the corner but I don’t see that right now probably just passes through heads eastward.
  22. High 53f Total rain: 0.08” currently 37f humidity 60% dew point 25f winds WNW gusting past 40 mph.
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