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Kevin Reilly

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Everything posted by Kevin Reilly

  1. I’m with Hurricane. I see a very clear STJ but clearly looking over water vapor maps to me looks pretty progressive eastward and zonal especially the southern branch and I’d suppose northern jet in time once that ridge flattens out in the mid west mountain west. I’m just not in the big snowstorm camp at this time either.
  2. Wait I’ve seen a map just like this one not too long ago when Outer Banks was burried.
  3. 23” with 50 mph winds out of the west with snow 2” an hour February 10th 2010. It was a MONSTER!! Never have I seen 50 mph winds out of the west with 2” hour rates for 2 hours straight a really crazy storm. It looked like a huyricsnd hurricane east of Ocean City Maryland.
  4. That’s a laugh. unremarkable here. Drizzle 40s upper 30s 3:00 to 7:00 snow mixed with rain from 7:30 to 11:45 33f We had snow 11:50 to 2:00 am result 0.03” of snow rain total 0.19” models gfs and HRRR consistently showed 2-4” here were terrible even amount of precipitation would not have produced that here. Model score card for central Delaware County F.
  5. Probably touching 49-52 here in the lower lands so I’d say most of our pack should be gone by Friday or so especially if we add a bit of rain minus piles.
  6. Anyone have a good feed video for 3-6 feet of snow in Lake Tahoe.
  7. Already can make out the warm tongue / nose coming NW up the Delaware Bay / Delaware River on that snow map least of our worries lol.
  8. Cloudy 32f unremarkable here. snow mixed with rain from 7:30 to 11:45 We had snow 11:50 to 2:00 am result 0.03” of snow rain total 0.19” Total snow for year: 25.9” models gfs and HRRR consistently showed 2-4” here were terrible even amount of precipitation would not have produced that here. Model score card for central Delaware County F.
  9. Moderate snow finally changed over paved areas beginning to cave. 33f humidity 99% dew point 33f The very definition of marginal Total snow: 0.02” Total Snow for Year: 25.8”
  10. 33f humidity 99% dew point 33f rain changing to snow slowly. only 10-15% snow call it rain with darting flakes Snow accumulation: 0.00”
  11. 39.2 humidity 67% dew point has dropped from 31f to 28f see a few flakes mixing in with light rain now.
  12. Gfs HRRR combo show 2-4” down through here. It almost looks Norlun Trough type of snow map.
  13. 41f humidity 64% dew point 30f light rain 0.01” Total Snow Year 25.8”
  14. 41f humidity 64% dew point 30f light rain 0.01” Total Snow Year 25.8”
  15. Cloudy 42.8f humidity 61% dew point 30f This has rain with darting snow flakes mixing in between midnight and 3 am with 0.01” potential accumulations down here in central Delaware County.
  16. Not exactly there was a signal for Presidents’ Day off and on for weeks. At one point some models were showing 15-20” with temps in the lower 20s even if a blip south across Pa Md De and Nj
  17. Well maybe we need the NAM vs GFS Warmer wetter vs Colder dryer Card here.
  18. NBC 10 has spoken coating to an inch. We will update the map in the morning. Sounds right.
  19. So ingredient #1 looks like a NW flow pretty evident with a low north of Quebec Canada drifting SSW. #2 Vort NNE of Winnepeg getting forced SSE. #3 low in north central New Mexico about to get the boot eastbound. #4 blocking NW flow will force storm to cut eastbound to our south then wait for a northern stream phase near Norfolk Va. You can clearly see the pieces on the water vapor map. This will be interesting to see unfold.
  20. You know it’s bad when there are more pictures or wraps than snow maps closing in on dinner.
  21. Ummm yes it was 47f some areas 50f the day before the March 12-14th superstorm. Hell it was 43f when the first flakes fell at onset with winds gusting to 40 mph out of the NNE.
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