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Kevin Reilly

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Everything posted by Kevin Reilly

  1. Kevin Reilly
    Probably snow with sleet mixing in
  2. Kevin Reilly
    Can’t we all just go outside and blow in an east southeast direction to blow the warm tongue further east and send the storm down on the NC eastward locking in out cold got 18-22”
  3. Kevin Reilly
    Same here 12f dew point 11f heavy snow blowing and drifting happening around the cars etc. Getting hard to measure here snow blowing around. I would say 4” drifts are like 6-7”
  4. Kevin Reilly
    My main concern is power outages. We need to stay snow and sleet as long as possible I’ll worry about clean up later. If your shoveling snow blowing wouldn’t go down to paved unless you are an ice skater. Watching the freezing rain down in NC that’s moving right on up power outages already beginning there. currently 11f humidity 94% dew point 10f Total Snow: 3.5”
  5. Kevin Reilly
    Moderate to heavy snow 11f humidity 93% dew point 10f. Total Snow: 3.3”
  6. Kevin Reilly
    Light to moderate snow 12f humidity 88% dew point 10f Total Snow: 1”
  7. Kevin Reilly
    Going to bed Cloudy 16f humidity 43% dew point -2 Thinking 8-10” 2.1” sleet
  8. Kevin Reilly
    16f dew point -3
  9. Kevin Reilly
    You cannot discount anything at this point.
  10. Kevin Reilly
    Funny you said that I’m about to go out now and give the generator a start and run for 10 minutes and check my gas supply.
  11. Kevin Reilly
    Yea totally remembered commenting with Glen think possibly during the 13” storm back in 2014.
  12. Kevin Reilly
    I can hear Elliott Abrams in my ears, “should the delay in the changeover occur we can easily pick up a foot of snow.”
  13. Kevin Reilly
    Their app algorithm must calculate 1-2” of sleet as 10”
  14. Kevin Reilly
    That’s what totally makes him a respectable met!
  15. Kevin Reilly
    I think I see 0.40” liquid for freezing rain power outages hopefully it’s not that radial freezing rain that MGorse was talking about yesterday. We cannot lose power with that cold coming behind the storm.
  16. Kevin Reilly
    Thinking right call is 8-10” for the weenie at heart, but reality is a floor of 6” and a ceiling of 10” I do think the Euro at 0z went higher because it calculated sleet this time instead of Frz rain at least I hope.
  17. Kevin Reilly
    At this point bring whatever we can get! Keep the Frz rain and power outages outta here we do not need that with the cold coming.
  18. Kevin Reilly
    Umm cmc backed off though southern sections nodding to Nam
  19. Kevin Reilly
    Think the budget was cut balloons too expensive so geese were tagged to sample the atmosphere around our region looking for where the warm tongue will set up.
  20. Kevin Reilly
    Sorry in all seriousness you’re right a clear warm tongue there shown on the Nam it’s really good on picking those features up. Frustrating!
  21. Kevin Reilly
    Philly heat island full effect
  22. Kevin Reilly
    lol for who Delaware County has gone 13” to 10” to 5.7 now is that less than 3”
  23. Kevin Reilly
    Doesn’t power outages start or so around 0.25” liquid of Frz Rain growing more concerned for central Delaware County.
  24. Kevin Reilly
    Most models going sleet to freezing rain Euro 0.30-0.40” liquid at 24-27f in Se Pa is very concerning power outages. my hope we shove the cold south at 12z keeping all layers cold enough for snow and sleet the alternative of Frz Rain is bad news with the pattern behind the storm. I am going 8-12” with 1-2” of sleet to 0.32” Frz for Central Delaware County. See what 12z does it would be very bad to switch to liquid with this scenario my number one concern snow sleet you can deal with.
  25. Kevin Reilly
    Cold air slower to come in slower to leave!
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