Kevin Reilly

Wind continues west 25-35 mph occasionally gusting to 40 mph. Temperature: 34f humidity: 42% dewpoint: 13f Well the big Great Lakes storm now resides blocked just north and northeast of the Great Lakes. I believe this feature is basically as I said the other day realigning our pattern in the eastern portion of the United States This Great Lakes southern Canadian storm will unravel in time and when that happens my thinking is a west to west southwesterly flow should resume and over time boot out the coldest air opening the door for wet events from the west and southwest overall rather than snow events. I also think we see the SE ridge back for a time. I am not saying no more snow this year, but I am also not buying all the hype that’s on social media about giant snowstorms January 4th to 12th timeframe. (Maybe I’m doing reverse psychology, but I don’t think so. I’ve seen this before) Next to track in the immediate future light snow / flurries New Years Eve to New Year’s Day dusting to 0.5” totals a lucky soul sees 1 inch, with embedded disturbance off the Great Lakes pinwheeling around the big low in southern Canada north of the Great Lakes. See if that disturbance can try to turn the corner but I don’t see that right now probably just passes through heads eastward.

High 53f Total rain: 0.08” currently 37f humidity 60% dew point 25f winds WNW gusting past 40 mph.

We just can’t know yet! I think the current monster storm in the Great Lakes needs to unwind before we understand where the pieces will fall. official: Patience required, but I think it’s coming! “Folks”

44f humidity 99% dew point 44f up from 36f at 11:30 pm last night. I was expecting warmer honestly I’m sure the 50’s are coming by 10 am

Well that’s been the problem the cold air leaves in even these set ups hence your other 25%.

Drizzle / fog here comes the warm air! 34f humidity 94% dewpoint 33f I expect a 10+ degree rise by 12 am

Doesn’t that look familiar.

33f humidity 85% dew point 29f light rain this was a lot closer to frozen than I thought.

The next line will be staying patient.

Thanks! Don’t forget the icy gusty winds they are coming.

Legit ice / sleet accumulations 1.4” of sleet accumulations 8.8” of snow / sleet for the year 30f dew point 26 slow melting

2009-2010 think the last time.

It looks exactly the same here as in this picture cold air winning out moderate sleet temp 27f dewpoint was 26f now 25f humidity 91%

27f humidity 91% dewpoint 25f moderate sleet all surfaces sleet covered freezing rain from time to time.

27f humidity 62% dewpoint 15f light freezing rain with a few sleet pellets it is an absolute ice-skating rink here.

moderate sleet and freezing rain 28f humidity 53% dewpoint 13f all ice covered here. Now down to 27f

40% Sleet / 60% rain 28f humidity 51% dewpoint 13f

Light sleet 29f humidity 47% dew point 12f a very light car topper of sleet so far.

Increasing clouds red sky east losing the sun. 25f humidity 52% dewpoint 10f wind NNE 12 mph expecting 1.1” of snow followed by sleet 0.4 then freezing rain 0.1. Those are my expectations.

Cloudy 36f dew point 25f going up to 50 under sunny skies forecast I saw this morning. Ummm I don’t think so looks like warmth is being shooed away.

Actually wait maybe the Nam is trying to take a weak primary low to near Pittsburgh and then transfer its energy to a new low near the coast and develop and slow down / blocked.

Guessing storm slows moving in the eastbound and a piece drops down from the North / North-northeast.

Well I see Chester and Delaware counties and Southwestern New Jersey are getting coal for Christmas no Winter Storm Watch here lol. This goes right along with my thinking earlier Winter Weather Advisory SE Pennsylvania and Winter Storm watches north and northeast. The more important snow line I-76 points northwest, north, and northeast.

That’s going to be solid warmth streaming in out of the west-southwest aloft east-northeast at the surface gotta keep that NE flow CAD for this one or game over in regards to pure snow.

As I see it now my inkling is that the block is too far east and like most times over past few years the cold air is booted NE and outta of southeastern Pennsylvania. I think our true potential down here in southeastern Pennsylvania is 1-3” of snow then flip to sleet / freezing rain. This is kind of a repeat from yesterday just more energy and moisture to work with. It’s clear favored areas are NE Pennsylvania as far south as Doylestown points east and northeast from there. 4-7” Doylestown points NE. I would go winter weather advisories southeastern Pennsylvania western New Jersey and winter storm watches northern Montgomery County Bucks County points NE. Subject to change but best guess right now. it would take a fairly strong block to keep the torch of airmass in the central and western United States from advancing east bound.