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Everything posted by Kevin Reilly
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Kevin Reilly replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
This was the breakdown for President's Day 2003 PHL was 8f snow increasing 1-2" an hour in intensity and piling up fast, Trenton 6f had filtered sun through high clouds no snow during that morning around 7:00 am, and just southwest of PHL I think they were working over a foot. I am not sure I think we wound up with like 19-22" if I am correct, it's been a while. The February 5th, 2010, storm was crazy cold air crashing too we wound up with 23" here and even more impressive which I have not seen before was 1-2" an hour for like 3 hours with winds gusting 40-50 mph out of the west. I know The February 5th, 2010, storm was a Baja Calli low >>> we get the big dogs when the Baja Calli lows come to play further east. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Kevin Reilly replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Low here in Media 9.7f with our 5" of snow on the ground. I think we are looking at 2f to about 5f tonight see how things work out. I mean 2f and a high to 46f on Thursday, you know something is coming soon in regards to a big storm with these temperature gradients that are going to start showing up as we increase our warming in the southern latitudes and bring the warm and moisture north it is all about timing, but the ingredients are there for 1 or 2 blockbuster snowstorms between January 23rd and February 10th or so. Great information as usual Paul. -
Classic!
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I think it may be one of those situations where if you lose liquid further south you gain ratios as you go north due to very cold temperatures. Less liquid but with the cold higher ratios more snow pure powder.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Kevin Reilly replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Yea tank is outside the line is at the bottom of the tank it the line is literally like 7-10” into the house. -
Remarkable consistency especially with the high up north the low is jumping around a bit that last low placement jumped pretty good northwest but nervous about that placement. Hopefully the low dampens out and transfers to the coast to lock in the cold air.
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Kevin Reilly replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Welp I’m at a half tank oil with a 240 gallon tank. I ordered 100 gallons today in the realization we have a 5” snow pack we are likely heading to the single digits tonight and looking towards next weekend if the AI Euro is correct 10”+ more of snow and ridiculous -3 temps I’ll have to crank the furnace up to prevent the oil line from freezing. Just thought I would share keep the thermostat up if you have oil when temps go below 10 degrees otherwise you run the risk of freezing the line especially if you have an older tank with low oil water sinks to the bottom of the tank freezing the line. No oil in pi no heat and you damage your furnace system. Get ready I think it’s coming! -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Kevin Reilly replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Ratio City! -
January 18th Back Door NW Trend Snow OBS Thread
Kevin Reilly replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
Just finished shoveling 2.0” so 3.3” on the day. There are diamonds shining in the snow. 26f partly cloudy stars appear that was dramatic. 5.1” on the weekend not bad when you thought you were getting 1-1.5” at best all weekend. We have a snow pack single digits almost a certainty next few days. Total snow for the year: 14.5” -
January 18th Back Door NW Trend Snow OBS Thread
Kevin Reilly replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
Looking forward that bohemian high crushes all our hopes for next weekend for now. -
January 18th Back Door NW Trend Snow OBS Thread
Kevin Reilly replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
Trash tomorrow MLK Day you won’t have to worry about the wind later. -
January 18th Back Door NW Trend Snow OBS Thread
Kevin Reilly replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
27f moderate snow 2.2” additional now. 15.2” on year now. That 5.1” two day total on the Euro on Saturday morning may be correct for this location. -
January 18th Back Door NW Trend Snow OBS Thread
Kevin Reilly replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
Temp crashing 29f moderate pixe dust flakes powdery snow now 1” additional and counting -
January 18th Back Door NW Trend Snow OBS Thread
Kevin Reilly replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
light snow 32f here cars and paved caving again. -
Talk about region wide. Has a Wes-southwest to east-northeast flow to it.
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January 18th Back Door NW Trend Snow OBS Thread
Kevin Reilly replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
Tappered down here just a little light snow. 33f humidity 99% dew point 33f I would suspect heavier bursts of snow as the colder drier air mixes with all this low level moisture left around. -
Lol love the cut off there in Central Alabama and Georgia on the GFS.
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January 18th Back Door NW Trend Snow OBS Thread
Kevin Reilly replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
Looks about right I I think if you are looking at the current radar. Let's just see what pops but obviously the favored areas are Northeast towards the North Jersey coast that will be the best mix of cold air coming southeast meeting up with the storm scrapping the coast. -
January 18th Back Door NW Trend Snow OBS Thread
Kevin Reilly replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
Interesting radar: You can see where the new precipitation is developing in south Jersey in banding segments moving NE and also more developing over Delaware County right over my house and I can confirm snow is picking up in intensity and flakeage. It's a shame we are JUST missing this coastal I-95 west. See if we can eek out another 1-2" here in Central Delaware County Points South and east? See if we can get the precipitation shield to expand westward and see if we can get a jet streak over head to enhance the snow. -
January 18th Back Door NW Trend Snow OBS Thread
Kevin Reilly replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
32f humidity 99% dew point 32f Well, the white rain is no longer it has changed over to a light to moderate snow with big fatty flakes mixed in. White rain lasted about 20 minutes. -
January 18th Back Door NW Trend Snow OBS Thread
Kevin Reilly replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
32f humidity 99% dew point 32f Light white rain redeveloping Total snow today: 1.6" Total snow for the year: 13.0" -
January 18th Back Door NW Trend Snow OBS Thread
Kevin Reilly replied to Mikeymac5306's topic in Philadelphia Region
32f humidity 98% dew point 32f light to moderate snow big flakes mixed in 1.2” very scenic trees wires covered into developing walls of white. total snow for year 12.9” -
Yes especially in overtime games!
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E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Kevin Reilly replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
Clear wind calm 28f humidity 98% dew point 27f a bit of an inversion layer and lots of low level moisture left behind. -
E PA/NJ/DE Winter 2025-26 Obs/Discussion
Kevin Reilly replied to LVblizzard's topic in Philadelphia Region
So, what happens if we shift NW another say 50-75 miles?
