Kevin Reilly

Thanks Paul This is a long duration event and the flooding down along coastal sections is going to be quite significant from the back bays especially rolling through the coastal communities. So far here in Media highest wind gust 42 mph and total rain thus far is 0.15" but steady heavier rain is rotating SW down the I-95 corridor so I suspect wind and rain increases over the next hour to two then roll through the rest of the day and evening calming down a bit after midnight tonight. We have a few larger branches, leaves, saw 1 tree down and scattered power outages here around 8 am this morning along Baltimore Pike in Media maybe fixed by now. I have had people asking me if this is January 1-2 feet of snow? I am not sure about that because of the very warm Atlantic and proximity of storm even coming on shore this screams very brief snow to wind swept rain in December to February winter months. Do we know if this is a warm core storm with any tropical characteristics or possibly subtropical? Thanks for your detailed and data rich posts. Kevin Here is 40th and Central in Sea Isle currently significant flooding on gong high tide looks like 2-4 feet of water there in the street. Not sure what it looks like along Landis Avenue in the 50's to 80's streets.

A couple of big bangs of thunder a breeze maybe 15 mph and picked up a whopping 0.10" here in Media. It almost looked like the radar did not match what was happening at the surface here. The lightning around our area was impressive from the surrounding areas but that here was only thing really noteworthy with these storms. Before the storms came 86f humidity 75% dew point was 74f felt like 94f Now: 74f humidity 89% dew point 71 serious waste of calm conditions and just still latent heat here, but I am sure that was dished out in other areas. The ring of fire.

Total rainfall in Media, Delaware County 1.08". Let's see if we get anything else tonight. Not sure looks like everything is north getting belted north and west.

I’m pretty sure the actual low pressure probably like 1010 mb passed right overhead here in central Delaware County looking at the cloud and wind vectors visually.

Wow Clouds have suddenly switched direction NNE to SSW cold front is through winds gusting out of the NNE 30-40 mph brilliant blue skies appearing almost like a tropical system is leaving.

Had an isolated heavy shower pop up earlier .10" in like 8 minutes guess round 1 at 3:15 pm then partly sunny. Round Two was a tornado warning picked up .90" wind gusted maybe 25 mph one lightning strike not too impressive overly, but if you looked up clearly see the clouds moving all kinds of different directions so lots of shear with a jet stream right over top. Clouds now are just flying eastbound very rapidly winds west gusting to 30 mph currently front through. I am sure there will be some confirmed tornado reports from today's event in the Mount Holly NWS area.

Severe thunderstorm watch moved to a tornado watch SE Pa points South and southeast

This seems underway just northeast of Dover Delaware moving NE into Southwestern NJ that is some pretty heavy-duty flooding rains there moving NE.

1992 was also a time where the tropics in the Pacific was very active. Iniki hit the northwest Hawaiian Islands that year not too much different than this year so far. However, looks like even more hurricane activity could affect the Hawaiian Islands in the coming two weeks.

Yea it is dragging on unfortunately pretty much a zonal flow of 86-90 heat foreseeable future. Guess we are lucky we are not getting slammed with all the severe weather and flooding at least.

Thanks Paul still some Wildfire smoke upstairs going on. Smoke has been going on for days now. I would like to see the blue skies again instead of the milky whitish blue stuff.

What is this hour 3,648 on the GFS a friend is asking?

My friend's plane leaves for Honolulu Hawaii Friday, August 14th. He is taking a Hawaiian island cruise around all the islands. Looks like the GFS has a 985 mb storm and the Euro 997 mb storm making a direct hit on the big island before moving west and away. Looks like this system is a legitimate threat to Hawaii. Any updates from the more seasoned tropical guys here would be great. I am able to see the models and the water vapor maps / satellites etc. looks like a bit of shear and dry air to the north limiting development for now. Looks like the legitimate threat lies at 11 N and 143 W if I am looking at it correctly but almost looks like another up there at 15N and 139 W. It looks very active out there.

There was wildfire smoke today. Not a lot but you could clearly see the milky white mixed in with the scattered clouds today. I am going to guess this wildfire smoke is coming from Washington and Montana and southern Canada as our flow is originating in Washington to Montana to the Dakotas upper mid-west then to us. Fairly zonal flow northern tier before the peel off abruptly to the southeast to our southwest.

Picked up 0.13” pretty good down pour after they left think I was smelling wild fire smoke again. Yes pretty humid 70f humidity 96% dew point 69f