Kevin Reilly

Sorry in all seriousness you’re right a clear warm tongue there shown on the Nam it’s really good on picking those features up. Frustrating!

Philly heat island full effect

lol for who Delaware County has gone 13” to 10” to 5.7 now is that less than 3”

Doesn’t power outages start or so around 0.25” liquid of Frz Rain growing more concerned for central Delaware County.

Most models going sleet to freezing rain Euro 0.30-0.40” liquid at 24-27f in Se Pa is very concerning power outages. my hope we shove the cold south at 12z keeping all layers cold enough for snow and sleet the alternative of Frz Rain is bad news with the pattern behind the storm. I am going 8-12” with 1-2” of sleet to 0.32” Frz for Central Delaware County. See what 12z does it would be very bad to switch to liquid with this scenario my number one concern snow sleet you can deal with.

Cold air slower to come in slower to leave!

Looks like a different orientation northeast to southwest classic. screams coastal redevelopment more a nod to gfs in my opinion.

Yep, they are on the wrong side of Lake Erie down wind is over in Erie, PA or Southwestern New York State depending on wind vectors from the west, northwest, and southwest during cold air advection and wind patterns.

Helpful for the drought long term.

Thanks for the advice I am going ALL IN on the GFS chips forward. I BELIEVE!!! Primary will bounce off the large high and confluence up north giving us 10" of overrunning then that primary low will transfer its energy to a new coastal at the Virginia Capes and Move NE to ENE from there giving us another 10-12" on a NNE flow winds gusting to 35-40 mph around the High to the north and the low to our southeast and east. Total snow in Media 22" Let's Go!!

It definitely looked like the high up north beats it down a bit. I wonder if it continues to beat it down a bit more as we get closer to game.

Guessing that’s the new injested data now from Hurricane Hunters?

If I had to make forecast right now I’d say 6-10” along 95 areas with a change over to sleet and freezing rain towards the end of the storm. NE Maryland 8-12” before flip to sleet and Frz Rain South Jersey 5-8” before flip Right at the beaches 4-6” before flip to sleet freezing rain then just rain. Chester Bucks Montgomery Counties: 10-15” some sleet may mix in at times I think our max amounts as of right now is 16” favored northwestern Chester Bucks Montgomery Counties. Poconos 10”

So double barrel highs 1044 and 1045.... it appears that the low is maybe trying to find a weakness in the ridge and head in that direction. So there for not a complete wall to wall of cold high pressure but rather a double high that has a weakness which the primary is moving towards. I think that needs to fuse together to prevent the north trend from continuing.

No just means huge snowstorm incoming