Kevin Reilly

Cold air slower to come in slower to leave!

Looks like a different orientation northeast to southwest classic. screams coastal redevelopment more a nod to gfs in my opinion.

Yep, they are on the wrong side of Lake Erie down wind is over in Erie, PA or Southwestern New York State depending on wind vectors from the west, northwest, and southwest during cold air advection and wind patterns.

Helpful for the drought long term.

Thanks for the advice I am going ALL IN on the GFS chips forward. I BELIEVE!!! Primary will bounce off the large high and confluence up north giving us 10" of overrunning then that primary low will transfer its energy to a new coastal at the Virginia Capes and Move NE to ENE from there giving us another 10-12" on a NNE flow winds gusting to 35-40 mph around the High to the north and the low to our southeast and east. Total snow in Media 22" Let's Go!!

It definitely looked like the high up north beats it down a bit. I wonder if it continues to beat it down a bit more as we get closer to game.

Guessing that’s the new injested data now from Hurricane Hunters?

If I had to make forecast right now I’d say 6-10” along 95 areas with a change over to sleet and freezing rain towards the end of the storm. NE Maryland 8-12” before flip to sleet and Frz Rain South Jersey 5-8” before flip Right at the beaches 4-6” before flip to sleet freezing rain then just rain. Chester Bucks Montgomery Counties: 10-15” some sleet may mix in at times I think our max amounts as of right now is 16” favored northwestern Chester Bucks Montgomery Counties. Poconos 10”

So double barrel highs 1044 and 1045.... it appears that the low is maybe trying to find a weakness in the ridge and head in that direction. So there for not a complete wall to wall of cold high pressure but rather a double high that has a weakness which the primary is moving towards. I think that needs to fuse together to prevent the north trend from continuing.

No just means huge snowstorm incoming

Pretty consistent outside of exact details it’s gonna snow! Who’s got that gif?

I mean I get it but even if you do not even look at Synoptics climatologically thinking you 60-90% of the time mix in these situations. Check all past storms like this however it does vary north to south or southeast to northwest depending on the cold high up north or phasing or not. I get the suppression thing but remember we are in a La Niña after all and heights typically rise along the southeast coast southwestern Atlantic.

I think this is the typical as the precip tapers lightens up it no longer can pull the cold air through the column and resulting in a little Frz snizzle pellets then cold air crashes back down for another period of snow 1-2” typical in lot of our 12”+ storms.

“Folks” is what Randy Stormtracker Admin would call a beat down 15-20”+ snow event. Glad I could help! Pretty entertaining actually!

Well technically that 2009-2010 seasons wasn’t a one and done season it was a bookend season. 12/22/09 15-23”