I really think the European model had to have a little discussion with the GFS if you know what I mean. So now it came into line this time it needs to continue to come into line with King euro lol
They gotta be panicking on the main thread lol. I don't trust the GFS at all at this far out and it's not just that I'm just making this up. If you go back and look at the last couple weeks I've been saying it. This winter season and last season, the European model has just absolutely crushed every other model and until that changes I will absolutely ride Euro-no matter what it does as we get towards the weekend.
I remember the 2016 storm-I was working that evening the day it started in Hopewell. Started as all snow, then it went to sleet for several hours and then back to all snow and like another 8" where I lived in Glen Allen.
Could happen this way again
I never even realized it did it until last year. My teenage son has it and he would show me that it would go from 3 to 6 inches of snow something like that if that's what the European model was showing for where we live. And then the next day if it went up to 8 to 12 it would show that on the next model. And then if even the next model it went to one to 2 inches it would show that it's completely ridiculous
I said it was tongue in cheek. Lol-I don't know you so I didn't know you were this easily offended. Have a good day -I will be more careful with your feelings from now on.
You're right-Or there's jealousy (and this is totally tongue and cheek because I don't have your kind of sarcasm built-in ha ha), over the fact that where I live had as much or maybe more snow than you guys did last year hahahaha. And had significant snow 10 days after Thanksgiving this year.
Lol-I live southwest a little bit of Richmond, in Moseley, Virginia. We had a few good hits last year and the Monday, 10 days after Thanksgiving or whatever had about 5 or 6 inches. It's been a good run down here.
There is a lot of noise on the other main thread because the Canadian that just came out is showing mainly sleet in our area. I will continue to lean at least 70% towards the European model throughout this week. It just keeps winning. And if it goes the way of the warm nose and getting sleet then that's probably what's going to happen. But I'm certainly not putting any eggs in any basket because of the Canadian model lol.
Yes-and also the European model has had this GFS model for lunch for going on to winter seasons now it hasn't even been close. GFS has been woefully bad, especially outside of 72 hours.
Euro about to win again-big time. Even with the changeover happening now, the precip will be out of the region very soon. And man oh man it sure has a pretty snow storm on 12z for our region for next weekend!
If it's been talked about I'm sorry. But it seems we are back to Euro clearly being GFS's "daddy" again, for more than a year now. Here we are at 6z runs and Euro continues to show very little snow for Central Va and mostly rain, while GFS brings 1-2" of snow later this afternoon/evening.. I'm thinking Euro will hold again but we shall see.
Late next weekend into the beginning of the week, which starts January 26, looks like a terrific pattern for at least an MECS, which could give us at least several inches of snow.
I think 6z was next to nothing sorry. I have a feeling that by the time we get to 48 hours from now the GFS will be aligned with the European model no matter what that is
From a fellow weather buddy of mine ...
"Gfs's pattern of inventing massive snow storms and then backing off as we approach is impressively consistent. It's like the Cleveland Browns of weather models."
Hahahahahaha!!