wasnow215
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Everything posted by wasnow215
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An inch here now. 31°- continued ligot to moderate snow.
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But it is a convective model so I get it. Love this stuff man!
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And here is same hour (hour one for this shot) on 11z
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Here’s my point about the HRRR at least with snow outside of four hours. Here is HRRR 7z five hours out for surface precip.
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Yes I like it for severe you’re correct.
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Light to moderate snow here in Glen Allen. Love it! Maybe not better rates than last time, but started earlier this time which will help.
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It’s ok -but we were talking about Euro yesterday and I posted “snow depth”. I was asking what Euro Kuchera was showing for snow totals at 12z specifically. IMO HRRR is NOT a reliable model outside of four hours btw.
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Was 33 here when I pulled car in garage (only do that when there are PENDING snow events lol). NAM dry but GFS nice again at 0z
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18z GFS Kuchera
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It’s the only one I have from the European model… But each run it has trended more snow here since two days ago. I got that from the snow depth model on Weather US. What is Kuchera from 12Z?
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I don’t know how much of this is snow compared to sleet etc. but the euro model keeps trending south.
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RVA snow predictions for tomorrow based on latest data (first time I’m doing this on here so go easy lol) Accumulation probabilities- 1/2” to 1” -95% chance 1-2”-75% chance 2-3”-65% chance 3-4-35% chance 4” or more 20% chance Places like Glen Allen, Goochland, Ashland, maybe even Mechanicsville best chances for the higher amounts. We shall see.
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Pretty much scenario I was thinking
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18z gfs..ummmmm some more
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Like I said last night...piece of the action!!
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Not too far away from getting the piece of the action for the loss SECS/HECS both of us in DC etc. Let’s do this!
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Yes Hunton Park. They waited too long but I was trying to be kind. I know models aren’t supposed to be worth much when we are in “nowcasting time” but The NAM, NAM 3k, GFS, and then even the EURO (all 12z) brought the snow “back” and this was at 10 am and then so on. So yeah-once those radar returns clearly showed this was happening WWA should have been issued.
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And here is our advisory.
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Agreed for sure but does it end at 4:15 or 6:15 here and then subsequently places in RVA and Hampton roads etc? 2 hours could mean two extra inches and more problems on the road. My buddy called me and said 64 was slushy near Mechanicsville.
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Interesting that the radar returns on weather bug are expanding somewhat to the north and west of Glen Allen. Not sure if that’s just something that lasts a very sort time or brings a couple more hours of moderate snow. Still snowing moderately here though.
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Agreed!
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An inch on the car now.
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Sticking to side streets now. Looks like on back edge unless it fills in from the southwest.
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