wasnow215

0z GFS bows down to Daddy Euro!

Maybe I missed someone posting this but since it's 18z run tonight, still a few hours of snow to go past 18z Sunday.

I never even realized it did it until last year. My teenage son has it and he would show me that it would go from 3 to 6 inches of snow something like that if that's what the European model was showing for where we live. And then the next day if it went up to 8 to 12 it would show that on the next model. And then if even the next model it went to one to 2 inches it would show that it's completely ridiculous

It uses the Euro

I said it was tongue in cheek. Lol-I don't know you so I didn't know you were this easily offended. Have a good day -I will be more careful with your feelings from now on.

You're right-Or there's jealousy (and this is totally tongue and cheek because I don't have your kind of sarcasm built-in ha ha), over the fact that where I live had as much or maybe more snow than you guys did last year hahahaha. And had significant snow 10 days after Thanksgiving this year.

Lol-I live southwest a little bit of Richmond, in Moseley, Virginia. We had a few good hits last year and the Monday, 10 days after Thanksgiving or whatever had about 5 or 6 inches. It's been a good run down here.

Lol -you skip RVA on purpose???

There is a lot of noise on the other main thread because the Canadian that just came out is showing mainly sleet in our area. I will continue to lean at least 70% towards the European model throughout this week. It just keeps winning. And if it goes the way of the warm nose and getting sleet then that's probably what's going to happen. But I'm certainly not putting any eggs in any basket because of the Canadian model lol.

Yes-and also the European model has had this GFS model for lunch for going on to winter seasons now it hasn't even been close. GFS has been woefully bad, especially outside of 72 hours.

Snow covering grass and car tops here in Moseley/Magnolia Green. According to radar should end fairly soon.

Euro about to win again-big time. Even with the changeover happening now, the precip will be out of the region very soon. And man oh man it sure has a pretty snow storm on 12z for our region for next weekend!

If it's been talked about I'm sorry. But it seems we are back to Euro clearly being GFS's "daddy" again, for more than a year now. Here we are at 6z runs and Euro continues to show very little snow for Central Va and mostly rain, while GFS brings 1-2" of snow later this afternoon/evening.. I'm thinking Euro will hold again but we shall see.

Late next weekend into the beginning of the week, which starts January 26, looks like a terrific pattern for at least an MECS, which could give us at least several inches of snow.

0z Euro says "TFL on 4th down....downs".

I think 6z was next to nothing sorry. I have a feeling that by the time we get to 48 hours from now the GFS will be aligned with the European model no matter what that is

From a fellow weather buddy of mine ... "Gfs's pattern of inventing massive snow storms and then backing off as we approach is impressively consistent. It's like the Cleveland Browns of weather models." Hahahahahaha!!

And poof GFS no more snow. Now watch the European model will bring snow back into the area again on later model runs lol

Not sure who has been following closely for the last year and a half at least, but the euro is back to just absolutely demolishing these other models. can be overly optimistic about snow lol, but I just can't get even a little bit excited until the European model shows snow.

Definitely going to snow-maybe 1/2 inch grassy/cold surfaces

Winter Weather Advisory just issued! URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Wakefield VA 1149 PM EST Sat Dec 13 2025 Goochland-Caroline-Powhatan-Westmoreland-Richmond-Northumberland- Lancaster-New Kent-Middlesex-Western Louisa-Eastern Louisa- Western Hanover-Eastern Hanover-Western Chesterfield-Eastern Chesterfield (Including Col. Heights)-Western Henrico (Including the City of Richmond)-Eastern Henrico-Western King William- Eastern King William-Western King and Queen-Eastern King and Queen-Western Essex-Eastern Essex- 1149 PM EST Sat Dec 13 2025 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 3 AM TO 11 AM EST SUNDAY... * WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of one to two inches. Brief moderate to heavy rates are possible, which could lead to quick accumulations and reduce visibility to less than one half mile. * WHERE...Portions of central, east central, eastern, and north central Virginia. * WHEN...From 3 AM to 11 AM EST Sunday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions and reductions in visibility.

Gfs shows more snow for Sunday. Euro has been killing it tho as far as modeling with both events we've had the past week. So for me need to see the Euro be on board.

At least 3" here at 23120-Moseley!

Very similar set up to the first snowfall we had last year. Looking good for 23120!

WWA maybe by 9am tomorrow from Wakefield? 1-3" RVA