wasnow215

Thanks! Any final totals?

I know it's "nowcasting" time but anyone have 18z Euro to include Va that just came out plz. Snow

No you have to have something you pay for it and get that I don't have it-i'm going to look on the southeastern site they might have it

Both AI's slightly north-18z

We will see about that and how the models are handling the low placement etc. Won't know til nowcasting.

Yeah that's a little glitch in their system lol. If you go to Wakefield and then click on the winter symbol for the winter weather, down towards the bottom, it'll bring you to a more current map which came out at 2:45 PM today. That's where you'll see the 1.7 etc. I don't know why they don't update this map on the main page.

I live in Magnolia Green part of Moseley. Thinking we get 2" here but would love to eek out a little more haha. We got about five on December 9, and I think about three before the ice and all that Saturday to Sunday. Can't tell exactly though, because I stayed in a hotel in Ashland keeping my business opened which we did successfully lol.

No I think it's legitimate that, maybe not to that extent, but these gradients are so tight! I have different people and in particular a church just near Short Pump, who want me to weigh in on what they should do about church Sunday. I told them pretty much what you said to just stick to the national weather service maps right now. Which Wakefield has 1.7 inches currently forecasted for Richmond, and a little bit more as you go south towards Petersburg. But man just a 20 mile jog north and it's a whole different ball game!

I hit laughing emoji because of the incredibly tight gradient between nothing at all and what's that 7 inches in Petersburg? Is that what city it is right below Richmond on that map or another city down here?

Anybody have the 18Z NAM regular clown map for snow?

I love reading your stuff in the DC thread! You are always welcomed here. I just find that model and HRRR to be pretty poor even when you get to "during the storm" lol. By the way I'm not even sure if people know who I am in that thread but I've been here I think since 2012-and I do post on there sometimes. I think I was on the other one too whatever it was called when I lived in New Jersey. Eastern? I think that's what it was called something like that.

Regular nam is much better

Through hour 17, the 18Z 12K NAM slower bringing the precipitation in. Let's see if it means anything.

Has anyone ever tracked SREF over the years and graded them I have found them to do really poorly in general. Always seem like too much snow. Don't get me wrong I hope that's what we get but they're just not very good models but neither is HRRR. It's even worse

All the globals have something for Wed-AI's also

They haven't been huge jumps but most of the models have come a little further north west the last 24 hours

Over the last 20 years most of them have been ABOVE average temperatures for winter time. Last year was pretty good I believe as far as closer to average or below and 2014. The consistency of cold weather for the winter season including December is definitely different this year.

This 12z GFS run looks more like the European model has most of the runs the last few days

To have so much frozen over snow still here, is pretty amazing for this area four days later.

6z Nam wasn't "onto something" it apparently was "on something". Lol-I think of the rest if the 12 Z doesn't change we're seeing dusting to maybe 2 inches far south areas of RVA

How can a "blend of models" get higher totals than the model that shows the most snow lol. Makes no sense. It's like saying 0+2+0+4+1 divided by 5 equals 5

Euro had the idea of more SE and a scrapper before GFS, GEM, AI's and others. Now it' shows a little more snow than most of the models. We shall see.

CMC was decent but yeah

Gotta believe they'll be a warning south of the river now in the Midlo/Chesterfield area

Anybody have the euro snow map hopefully Kuchera but any of it will do haha