wasnow215
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Everything posted by wasnow215
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Yeah-Seems like the short term models have extended the period of time we see precipitation from this especially if you go from Richmond proper southward 20 miles.
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With mixing at times and temps an issue at the beginning I think looking at the models that have “total positive snow depth“ is smarter to look at rather than 10:1. So I think to two MAYBE 4 inches (northwest of 95) is possible.
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Sorry I meant NAM for tonight
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Very true about the models. The ice storm looks like Sat afternoon into early Sun morning. And Wakefield has us in .25-.50 total ice accumulation. NAM just came in real nice after a step back at 6z. And it’s pretty long in duration as depicted.
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No winter storm warning but at least looks like no shutout tonight. Unfortunately still looking like an ice storm Saturday. Temps at the surface below 32° Sat looks like during the event into Sunday. Still time for things to change there.
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#Obsessed lol
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Wakefield pretty aggressive with 4-6” for the city/N n W.
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Seemed like 12k NAM was better? Transparently I’m not sure of the two which is better as far as how it handles winter events at this .24 to 36 hours out.
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Does anyone have ice maps from different models? And man what is that for Saturday now? Sleet? Freezing rain?
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I’m not the biggest DT fan. Dude can be a jerk. However for Thursday into Friday (second wave) only the gfs doesn’t have RVA and suburbs with the most snow. Currently. 10”??? Probably too much- but even if you drop 30-40% off that, then you also have to do that to the entire map. Again since there were like 10 posts about his map, I wanted to weigh in also.
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How much does it show. Bc looks like qpf is minimal now also.
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Gnite RVA peeps. Personally knowing it’s the Euro/CMC/RGEM, and even NAM to a point vs GFS I feel pretty good less than 48 hours out. Unless they cave later hahah
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Call me crazy but to be in the “negative bullseye” (much less precip than areas north and south at this range on GFS is actually comforting haha.
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No one posted ANY maps til you did so thank you lol.
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Didn’t end up bad this ONE run. Just lost some qpf. Need that trend to stop for sure.
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So NAM is correct but Euro isn’t. Got it. Off of one NAM run to boot.
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Map stopped at Fredericksburg looks like as most northern point.
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It lines up with pretty much every model except for the GFS and maybe a 1 or 2 other outliers. Looks like a solid call.
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Facts. And too many times I’ve seen rudeness on other threads towards “outsiders”.
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Beautiful day. Was in the mid to upper 50s Saturday and still got accumulating snow the next morning. Tomorrow begins the cool down.
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But it’s fantastic! RGEM
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GFS still looked like “weak sauce” tho no?
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Any ice accumulation maps weather peeps? Been working and just was able to check in. Euro is tremendous for snow! gfs ice?
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Absolutely
