Two things I will say about thermals:
1-Looks like the GFS is a little colder as forecasted
2-It seems for this winter season so far the models have had a hard time dealing with CAD. It's consistently poorly forecasted and we have been much colder than what the temperatures we're supposed to be. during that cold spell as we came out of it we would see predicted temperatures of 40° by 9 a.m. for example and it would still be 32°
After the dropsonde 0z Friday which was Thursday night into the GFS was when things started changing and we started seeing more snow would be to the south.
Yesterday I made a call of 3 to 5 inches and I might be a little low with that now. But thermals are still iffy as far as good accumulation on the ground.
Man I'm excited for 2/20 on-even if we get some scraps down here in Richmond next week that won't change the possibility of the great pattern after 2/20!
"Feelings, nothing more than feelings trying to forget my feelings of Snowwwwwwww. Feelings ...Whoaaaa, whoa whoa whoa feelings....." LOL-cmon man! You're an Eagles fan! Let's go!!