Buddy1987
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Everything posted by Buddy1987
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Impressive with the banana high structure coupled with the 1029-1032 up above both those highs as well.
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Nam is lights out madness up this way. “The eggs are cooling, the butter is getting hard and the jell-o is jiggling.”
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Agreed much warmer run and more north with the initial wave on thur/fri. Idk about you all but I can see this easily being a cold rain for even up my way and the models being too aggressive with the cold push. Wouldn’t shock me anyhow considering the run to run inconsistencies this year.
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12k and 3k Nam are worlds apart. Go figure... lolll
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Still Uber cold for the majority of the forum. Would def cause some significant concerns for areas not accustomed to this type of stuff.
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@BornAgain13 12z Icon between 60-66 coming in much colder at 2m. Thurs night may be a very sneaky event
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Holy crap! That’s like a late 90s weather setup there. I remember living up north and the the power trucks headed toward the Carolinas when the ice storms would roll through. Pretty much every model I’ve seen depicts a significant event for a majority of the weather board in that time frame. I don’t think I will personally get over invested until Thursday or Friday just because the models have been so flippy floppy as of late.
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I don’t trust the euro man.. it hasn’t been itself lately. I feel rain and mid 30s for our areas. The NAM’s thermals are also a red flag for me.
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Feb Long Range Discussion (Day 3 and beyond) - MERGED
Buddy1987 replied to WinterWxLuvr's topic in Mid Atlantic
I’ll be cheering for you guys. This has N VA/DC on north type of setup. At the minimum mid levels will be cooking down here. -
Honestly I have no idea. It’s super odd. I live more or less out in the country compared to downtown Roanoke or anything like that. I’m in between exit 137 and 132 if you are familiar with the area up this way. Only thing that would make sense is rates and the simple fact that you most likely had some good bands come through and we did not.
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Sorry to be a Deb guys but this is a laughable storm. Stayed stuck at 34 for a long time. 4-8” turned into 1-1.5” out there. I saw no model that had me under 3”. Roadways are wet. Terrible model guidance down this way. Really hoping the next 10-15 days isn’t wasted. Don’t care if it’s ice or snow as long as it’s wintry,
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Laughable storm up this way. Stayed stuck at 34 for majority of storm. 4-8” turned into 1-1.5”. Roads simply wet. Not a single model from what I saw had me under 3”. Terrible guidance on this one. Congrats to the south. You guys deserved it and HRRR scored a big coup down that way.
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It finally flipped to predominantly snow but it still doesn’t want to get its act together just yet. I’m by the S in Salem banked up against a mountain. Got about 1300ft of elevation over here. Seeing that ridiculous band over by Nashville makes me feel better and the fact of what you alluded to with the radar more or less congealing to my southwest. I just hope the temps cooperate up your way and to my north. Probably wasted .15-.20 qpf already. Temp all the way down to 34.3 from 39.9 just a couple hours ago.
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Super disappointing up this way. Pretty much all rain. Temp went from 39 to 35 but radar is lightening up and will really need 2nd batch to over perform. Hopefully the frontogenesis that has been talked about will come to fruition. No longer having good feelings about this. Crazy to me because to my south and west it really over achieved. Sat under heavy yellows for easily 30 min plus and couldn’t flip.
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Boy that first band was ultra disappointing. Was under bright yellows for easily over 30 minutes and I still have predominantly rain. Makes zero sense with all kinds of sleet and snow reports to my south and west. I hope that’s not a bad omen for peeps further north. Temp went from 39 to 35 however since that band came through. Really am going to need radar to fill in or the backend to over perform.
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Yea that band is def the divider. I’m assuming that will flip us here shortly as well. About 20-25 min from Radford. Lost 2 degrees on the temp. Down to 37
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Just up the road from you in Salem. Was wondering how that band was going to perform as it traversed 81. Hoping we flip soon
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39/32 precip just started down in ROA. Predominantly rain with some mangled flakes mixed in. Radar off to my southwest looks juicy. Awaiting better rates.
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Precip just started. Predominantly rain with some mangled flakes in there. 39/32
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Been hovering around 38 here as well with dew of 27. We will see at least out my way with how the trajectory plays out or if precip blossoms more once the low gets crankin off the nc coast.
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@BornAgain13 NAM nests are beat downs again up here. Run after run now. Will it be right?
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LOTS of reports in the south of precip quickly flipping over to shreds of paper, even with marginal temps. Upstairs is def cold!
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Anyone have obs in Kannapolis/Hickory/Greensboro? Heavier echoes traversing through there.
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42.8/25 now. Bottom is starting to fall out last 30 minutes.
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I’ve been watching that closely. That’s been modeled on almost every piece of guidance.
