Buddy1987
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Everything posted by Buddy1987
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Recon sampling the shortwave right now. AF305 Unassigned MissionType: Unknown | Status: En RouteAs of 02:02 UTC Jan 13, 2022: Aircraft Position: 38.83°N 125.02°WBearing: 90° at 374 ktAltitude: 9700 gpmPeak 10-second Wind: 79 kt at 204°Extrapolated Sea-level Pressure: N/A Aircraft Data Time Series (click to enlarge): Raw data file Full Mission In-Storm (click to enlarge):
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If anyone is interested, Steve (PSU) from Mid Atlantic forum is hosting a live zoom session tonight when the GFS comes out with discussion and analysis. Sat in couple Sundays ago and it was a lot of fun. If anyone is interested email him at [email protected]
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Steve ill see you guys in there
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Saw from PSU it was slightly east with less ridging and lower heights so sounds like it is going in the right direction. (that was out through 78 as well)
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No dont believe so.
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Ahh my bad here. I thought I saw EPS but this is the GFS ENS. Still should make people happy. Thats a good bit south with highest totals.
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2021-2022 Fall/Winter Mountains Thread
Buddy1987 replied to BlueRidgeFolklore's topic in Southeastern States
Man and that’s with 10:1. Temps here are upper teens to around 20 Saturday night. -
This is awesome!! Seeing everyone in here. I wish we had big storms more often
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I've seen his name in here under browsing yesterday but he hasn't said anything as of yet.
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Damn good to see you on here. Phew that happened to me once. Holy hell was that a process.
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@WinterWxLuvr weenie run for the Blue Ridge times 1000. That happens I will literally never complain again. 24.4'' down this way
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That was a run as to why the weenie emoji was made because THAT was a weenie run for the mountains. If I got 2ft of snow I would literally never complain again.
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Going great LOL. I see things are well here too. You have JI being the voice of reason, you have StormTracker having homicidal thoughts about Yoda and the cliffs have miles of jumpers. In all seriousness though, I do believe this will trend a little better for you all in the DC area and vicinity.
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Same here they got me at like 10-16'' that would be insane if it came to fruition.
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Ouch by 111 its over the Beltway and DC, so even further west than the GFS. Run started out good for the western areas of our forum so timing hopefully prevails.
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Man ICON with another shellacking for WNC/Foothills/Mountains. Consistent with its evolution. Low from MYR to justtt west of the Outer Banks.
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Icon closed at 500 at 69 but more south of the 12z position. I really like the placement of the High as well. More west, which would give it time hopefully in subsequent runs to drift east and really set up in a prime position for CAD
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More Miller A'ish on that look.
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Nice pick up. The NAM is really feeling the effects of that HP, forcing it to be pushed underneath. That should make the CNC folks happy seeing this. Just another plausible scenario. Nice confluence up top and vort is weaker this run.
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I honestly think we continue to see it tick upward in future runs as it comes into focus with more "short term" details, i.e. max precip placement, amounts, kinds of precip etc.
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I dont see why, as of right now, we cant get a nice 4-8/5-10 type deal before mixing potentially happens. I saw JI post the JMA in the Mid-Atlantic thread LOL. Would be nice if that actually came to fruition but I highly doubt that model ever scores a coup.
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Several takeaways that will need to closely be monitored over the next 48-72 hrs. 1. Strength and placement of the High Pressure up top. 2. Confluence over New England and how much it can kink back to the southwest to allow lowering of heights in advance of the system. 3. How quickly the main low takes to take on the kidney bean shape and transfer its energy to the coast. Most guidance I have seen today starts the transfer process in and around the Valdosta, GA area.
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Man that has a big signal for some serious ice accrual in the piedmont of NC i.e. Greensboro and that area. North of Columbia wiped off the map. I mean even half of that good lord.
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How about the New England storm? Is that kinked back to the southwest any to help with heights/confluence and such?
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Agreed there. Would be MAJOR ZR concerns even up this way as it gets cranking just south of DC.
