wx2fish
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Everything posted by wx2fish
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I'd be leary slashing that far into NH this early. Could pull that just tomorrow. If radar is still flaccid at 10pm maybe
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Light Sleet/rain mix. 33F. A whole 0.02" through the Davis so far. Well see what happens with some better lift in a bit.
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Back to a very sleety snow. Can see the oscillations on CC. Rates are pretty still light up this way
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Steady light snow here about 7 miles north of the MA border
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Flipped to mostly snow with a few pellets. 35f
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It's really after 7pm or so around here that the better lift arrives. It's near 0C now at 850 so not really surprised it's sleet/rain. It's later this evening when it'll really be make or break
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Real tough call from ash to my area. Maybe something like 2-4" tonight and hope for another 1-2" midday tomorrow. Gradient may be very tight tonight. I'd lean lower end and be happy if it breaks the other way.
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I like to use it for trends, but overall agree it can jump wildly. We use it alot for aviaiton purpose for cig/vis/TS. This is getting inside 4-5hr now though so hopefully it has a clue.
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Hrrr has been trending a little better with that initial pulse. 16z run is trying to flip the pike region for a bit.
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Gonna be very wet and sloppy tonight, maybe even some sleet in there. Theyll be a break with drizzle late night/early morning. The midday stuff tomorrow will be a little drier.
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12z hrrr looked maybe a hair colder on the front end, but a definite improvement with the stuff tomorrow, mostly north of the pike
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Yeah hrrr kinda hints at it, but still colder than the nam. The euro soundings I have are too course to really see if it has anything in that layer. I think south of MHT will struggle initially too until we get decent lift. Elevation will help for atleast the first couple hours.
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Nam is definitely the warmest, little warm nose up around 750, and it pushes it up into the NH border region for a couple hours. Northern edge will probably fluctuate with lift, but something to watch on the 12z runs.
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Yeah agree. I think for more than just more localized amounts over 6" the Friday stuff will need to come in robust.
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Hrrr is super juiced up. Hard to buy that kind of qpf in these, but well see. Pushing 1.25" in SNH in like 8 hours
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Was wondering how it looked, pivotals maps are all blank
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Yeah its dicey, definitely want the thumpier solutions with big lift for 3-4 hours
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I think the producers with sealed vacuum systems it makes sense to try and capitalize on it. Always a risk vs reward for gravity/open air systems. Taps could dry out and lose the end of the season
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I think it goes over the FZDZ or snizzle right into Central NH for a bit once the mid-level dryslot punches through. The DGZ completely dries out, then resaturates by late-morning/midday Friday.
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Nice thump on the nam with the first batch down to maybe route 2-ish, and especially closer to the NH border on north.
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Nam looks a touch cooler for those on the fringes
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EPS mean looks like it tracks over SE MA/Cape for Sun/Mon
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What a bomb on the euro
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What a weenie run for Stowe.
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Pretty much over my head. It's a bomb though, big snows in NNE
