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Great Snow 1717

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    December 2024 - Best look to an early December pattern in many a year!

    in New England

    Posted

    6 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

    The warmth ahead is impressive, but to me the lack of cold behind these fronts is the more interesting story. Keep in mind this is *while* the pacific is cooperating...

    Have to go way up into UP of Michigan or far interior Ontario to even find temps at freezing...

     

    https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/mesoanalysis/new/viewsector.php?sector=16#

    bigsfc.gif

    That has been the story for a number of years. The "Montreal Express" rarely makes an appearance. 

    Wednesday NY State Screamer 12/11.

    in New England

    Posted

    Just now, weatherwiz said:

    Yup that was something which added into the coast for our neighbor. they were two huge pine trees and had to get some massive crane thing to cut the trees in segments from top down and then lift them onto a truck. They even had to close down a portion of the road to do it. 

    ..that type of tree removal can easily cost 10K or more...

    • Like 1

    Wednesday NY State Screamer 12/11.

    in New England

    Posted

    Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

    I had 5 biggies cut and stumps grinded for $4500. 

    The size of the tree is only part of the cost estimate.  The complexity/difficulty of the job and the equipment that is needed for the job can easily add thousands of dollars onto the cost for the tree removal.

    Wednesday NY State Screamer 12/11.

    in New England

    Posted

    21 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

    I mean if there is a trend to start closing schools or dismiss school early for weather events, pretty soon nobody will be in school. If we're talking about the potential for a serious, life threatening event, then absolutely, close schools. I guess maybe it's hard to fully blame those making these decisions...they're making decisions based on what they're being presented and weather is flat out hyped. 

    The other thing too with early dismissals is they're pointless. Just cancel the day. I remember in school when we were having an early dismissal, nobody was paying attention. Classes were shortened, teachers had to rush to get through material...nobody is winning in those situations. It's a disservice to the teachers and its a disservice to the students. 

    I can't speak on the remote learning since I have zero experience with it (unless you want to count online classes :lol: ) but I feel like you have to be extremely disciplined to handle remote learning and how many middle/high school students fit that boat?

    Correct!!

    December 2024 - Best look to an early December pattern in many a year!

    in New England

    Posted

    56 minutes ago, jbenedet said:

    Something dystopian about this thread title. Perhaps, instead, I'll just read it as sarcasm...

    Over this period, I have received 2" of snow but also 2" of rain; pack is about to get wiped-out area wide up to the "north of the wall" lakes region latitude, and the beginning of December ends in less than 4 days. 

    The " best look" to this December reminds me of one of the opening scenes from the popular Wide World of Sports TV program from back in the day..

     

    Will AI Change The Future of Forecasting Improving Reliability Over Longer Lead-Times?

    in New England

    Posted

    2 hours ago, Layman said:

    Thank you @RDRY for posting this interesting Barron's link regarding the GenCast AI weather model:  https://www.barrons.com/news/google-says-ai-weather-model-masters-15-day-forecast-cdc5793d 

    Will, or can, AI improve forecasting reliability?  What are your thoughts, opinions and/or experience?  Will there still be a need for human interpretation of models going forward?

    AI is progressing at an incredible rate and continues to positively impact massive data processing:  https://x.com/FutureJurvetson/status/1863649174358831312 

    It is only a matter of time before AI improves forecasting. And at some point in time will replace the need for human forecasting. I am a long-time chess player. AI has been around the chess world for a considerable period of time. AI has improved to the point that it is far superior to the world's best chess players.

    Dec 5-6th clipper threat

    in New England

    Posted

    Just now, WxWatcher007 said:

    This is a random aside and I take no position on school delays/closings, but are drivers much worse than back in the day? I mean, school buses are getting hit and damn near run off the road in good conditions. I imagine it’s even worse during these marginal snow events where people today still drive like it’s sunny and 70°. 

    Roads were much worse back then during storms and after storms....During the late fall and winter we walked to school in the dark. School began earlier back then.

    • Thanks 1

    Dec 5-6th clipper threat

    in New England

    Posted

    18 minutes ago, weatherwiz said:

    The world would have to be ending for us to get school cancelled in West Hartford. We would mostly get late openings or early dismissals. Now if the Sun is too bright or its above 75 school closes for a week 

    Back in the day we may have been dismissed an hour early.... 

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